May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Significant rainfall for June standards looks likely early next week. :clap: :thumbup: :wave:

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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 1:48 pm Significant rainfall for June standards looks likely early next week. :clap: :thumbup: :wave:


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-7502400.png

gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-7502400.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-7502400.png

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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I didn't experience Thunder/lightning but I was inside a store just around 2PM in Langley and all of a sudden I was hearing loud noises. It was the hail pounding down that was causing the noise.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 5:23 am Why don't they send all the homeless there, there complaining there's no affordable low income housing available perfect spot to rebuild Lytton. :think:
Man that’s some funny stuff! Keep it coming!!
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 7:33 am Yes I think the ENSO is playing a role in the forecasts I have been seeing today. The heat dome looks to be anchored further into the country this Summer according to Tyler Hamilton instead of being focused in BC. Ontario, for example, will have to worry about the scorching heat this time.
Still no guarantees. The summer forecast for 2022 was for the heat ridge to be centred east of BC. However, in late July we saw a prolonged heatwave. Temperatures in Abbotsford were above 30C with high dew points for 7 days straight. Less intense than June 2021 but still very uncomfortable and for a longer duration. But to be fair, seasonal forecasts are based on averages, not individual weather events. We will have to wait and see how this summer unfolds. :thumbup:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 4:37 pm Still no guarantees. The summer forecast for 2022 was for the heat ridge to be centred east of BC. However, in late July we saw a prolonged heatwave. Temperatures in Abbotsford were above 30C with high dew points for 7 days straight. Less intense than June 2021 but still very uncomfortable and for a longer duration. But to be fair, seasonal forecasts are based on averages, not individual weather events. We will have to wait and see how this summer unfolds. :thumbup:
Yes, it doesn't mean we won't have any heat waves, it just means overall we will be below normal or normal for temperatures.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 1:48 pm Significant rainfall for June standards looks likely early next week. :clap: :thumbup: :wave:


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-7502400.png

gem-all-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-7502400.png

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-7502400.png
The year without summer continues... :cry:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 4:37 pm Still no guarantees. The summer forecast for 2022 was for the heat ridge to be centred east of BC. However, in late July we saw a prolonged heatwave. Temperatures in Abbotsford were above 30C with high dew points for 7 days straight. Less intense than June 2021 but still very uncomfortable and for a longer duration. But to be fair, seasonal forecasts are based on averages, not individual weather events. We will have to wait and see how this summer unfolds. :thumbup:
On that topic...
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 7:55 pm The year without summer continues... :cry:
Models are trending towards a heat ridge around the end of the first week of June. Looks like it could be a humid airmass as well. :sick: :wave:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Received 8.9mm of rain in the pond in south Sardis today with a Chilly high of 15c.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 10:50 pm Models are trending towards a heat ridge around the end of the first week of June. Looks like it could be a humid airmass as well. :sick: :wave:
Too much ying and yang Jr. Man with the models at the moment wait until next week to write off on it. :thumbup:
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

Really hope we get sun and warmth soon. I am D.O.N.E with Mayvember!
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Leighbugs wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 11:33 pm Really hope we get sun and warmth soon. I am D.O.N.E with Mayvember!
Don't worry, after Mayvember comes Junuary!
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

stuffradio wrote: Wed May 29, 2024 4:52 pm Yes, it doesn't mean we won't have any heat waves, it just means overall we will be below normal or normal for temperatures.
We *could* be. Nothing is certain.
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Re: May 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The latest GFS has a very progressive pattern at 500mb for the next 16 days. It shows trough ridge trough ridge.
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