September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

[Bear Golden]

Well, unfortunately, not much in the way of meaningful relief over the next 10 days. The Euro is the best out of the 3.

This is not good for my mushroom foraging season

Need some sustained rains!!!

EDIT: PS Hi everyone, missed y'all

[Catnip]

Latest Weeklies

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[Roberts Creeker]

This may have already been posted, but the Euro seasonal doesn't look all that great.

Need a thumbs down for that. What happened to La Nina, colder than normal?

[Roberts Creeker]

This is not good for my mushroom foraging season

Need some sustained rains!!!

EDIT: PS Hi everyone, missed y'all

Welcome back Bear! I'd take any rain at this point. July 6 was the last rain of note up here, everything is looking pretty dry.

A lot people are talking about and preparing for the rain coming this weekend but I don't see it in the models or EC. One of us is going to be surprised.

[stuffradio]

Two of three models show "decent" rain. GFS is basically bone dry.

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[Rubus_Leucodermis]

This is not good for my mushroom foraging season

Mine either. One thing to keep in mind, patterns can change pretty quickly and profoundly at this time of year.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Just corrected my altitude from what was a ballpark estimate. I’m basically smack-dab on the 70m contour line.

For those who can read topo maps, here is the resource I used:
https://atlas.gc.ca/toporama/en/index.html

[SouthSardiswx]

Who knows how this winter is going to play out l'm not going to get all excited this early.
Too many busted winter's takes it toll. It's currently 17c @ the pond in south Sardis hazy smoke still present in the central valley.

[SouthSardiswx]

I firmly believe there are politically motivated pyromaniacs starting some of these fires.

Agree, it is almost like this wildfire season wasn't exciting enough let's ramp it up and create some excitement.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z ECMWF ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[Typeing3]

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[Typeing3]

00z GFS - total precip over the next two weeks

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[stuffradio]

The GEM is the wettest of the three models. There's still no real agreement

[Hawk]

Mine either. One thing to keep in mind, patterns can change pretty quickly and profoundly at this time of year.

One week of steady rains and it is game on
Stay away from my secret locations you 2

[Catnip]

Warm end to September on the way?