September Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 18, 2021 2:40 pm Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
Lovely read Cman and research.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:04 pm I think our friend had some bad fettuccine..
Excuse me Kells. :oops:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:45 pm dont you just love September?
You do El Neats. :P
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: ↑Sat Sep 18, 2021 6:29 am98mm here
Are you sure John. :shifty:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Sep 18, 2021 8:06 am lol that beats most of your daily snowfall totals :lol: :lol: :lol:
Sadly true...can you imagine if it had fallen as snow! 78 cm! Epic!!!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Winter forecast:
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

2021-09-19_000509.jpg
2021-09-19_000708.jpg
Cool!
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Sat Sep 18, 2021 10:15 pm Winter forecast:
Another sardineman victory? Please say it ain't so.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

00z GFS is super dry in the long range. Even EC took the rain out of the forecast for most of this week except for a quick shot mid week. A more normal mid to late September pattern.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by NorthBurnabyWeather »

So, um...what triggered those storms last night?
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Coquitlam79 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 19, 2021 10:08 am 00z GFS is super dry in the long range. Even EC took the rain out of the forecast for most of this week except for a quick shot mid week. A more normal mid to late September pattern.
Nice
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Quick downpour rolled through in Coquitlam
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 19, 2021 2:49 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
Looks nice. Crisp cool mornings are the best.
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Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

NorthBurnabyWeather wrote: ↑Sun Sep 19, 2021 11:25 am So, um...what triggered those storms last night?
Just instability behind the system Saturday NB.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
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