December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Hawk]

Some much needed snow coming for the ski hills Monday and Tuesday but it's all rain or mild temps thereafter for the rest of the month.

ahahaha..tell em Nito!!

December
Nito 1
#TeamSnow 0

[Hawk]

its gon be a Whet Christmas

[wetcoast91]

#LaNina.

Big misconception.
We are in a neutral state. It's a small part of the puzzle with all other indices suggesting an +ENSO-like setup.

[Catnip]

for months..this years LN and winter predictions were a complete Joke. Look at the December models..they got EN written all over them. So much for 2-3 months out forecasting lolol. Not sure why some keep trying to predict more than 10 days out

Yup... pretty much. I feel like nowadays some long range/seasonal predictions are based on historical norms and a lot is put into La Nina, El Nino etc.

I feel like the last few years or more has shown that things are not as they once were.

Still thinking the odds will eventually turn in our favor and we see some decent at some point... just hopefully not in March! #sunangles

[Catnip]

Big misconception.
We are in a neutral state. It's a small part of the puzzle with all other indices suggesting an +ENSO-like setup.

Am I wrong in thinking that neutral winters are often decent for around here... indices aside....

[Catnip]

ahahaha..tell em Nito!!

December
Nito 1
#TeamSnow 0

#TeamSnow so far this season

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Lots of 10’s showing up now.

ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-4004800.png

[Catnip]

Lots of 10’s showing up now.

ecmwf-deterministic-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-4004800.png

Neetz can mow his lawn on Christmas morning!

[Catnip]

WTF?



Full on

Gotta feel for the ski hills.

Temps at around 2500ft 750m

woah.png

[Hound]

Nothing like entering winter with garbage conditions yet again.. at this point I hardly care anymore. I rather have +12 and sunny.

[Canada Goose]

Big misconception.
We are in a neutral state. It's a small part of the puzzle with all other indices suggesting an +ENSO-like setup.

I know, I was joking.

I thought about folks saying "yeah, La Nina's coming, i.e. plenty of cold, rain snow". We are seeing the exact opposite.
After a very wet October, November and December have been very dry here. And after a good start, no snow in mountain and rain's coming. Great.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

WTF?



Full on

Gotta feel for the ski hills.

Temps at around 2500ft 750m

woah.png

That’s what I refer to as TTT (top tier torching).

[Typeing3]

for months..this years LN and winter predictions were a complete Joke. Look at the December models..they got EN written all over them. So much for 2-3 months out forecasting lolol. Not sure why some keep trying to predict more than 10 days out

Edit: Even the Similkameeeens are suffering. We need a big snowpack year to fill up the dried out lakes!! December is already a complete writeoff!!

Unfortunately in any sample there will always be anomalies.

In general, over the course of recorded history, La Nina's tend to lean colder and wetter our region, while El Nino's trend the opposite way. Hence why the long range forecasts were leaning cooler and wetter.

There are some winters in the analogues (like 1966-67 or 2005-06) that were anomalies and this one could very well follow suit.

[wetcoast91]

That’s what I refer to as TTT (top tier torching).

I still think we could see historic warmth towards late month. GOA vortex with that ridge axis further east will yield many ARs with a direct southerly flow.

[Catnip]

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