December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

Moisture moves out as cooler air moves in. right El Neeners.

I'm checking my script.

Moisture arrives too late. Surface temps are a touch too warm. Airmass gradually moderates. Southerly winds. Temps warm up to +12C. Mild rain.

[Radar]

Rains like this are precursors to a little snow n December.

Snow is coming. It is close.

[PortKells]

Will be cold rain here in the belt!

Maybe a snowflake or two everywhere else. Nothing to worry about IMO.

[SouthSardiswx]

I'm checking my script.

Moisture arrives too late. Surface temps are a touch too warm. Airmass gradually moderates. Southerly winds. Temps warm up to +12C. Mild rain.

Perfect script, it's currently 8c @ the pond in south Sardis the high today was 9c.

[SouthSardiswx]

I'm checking my script.

Moisture arrives too late. Surface temps are a touch too warm. Airmass gradually moderates. Southerly winds. Temps warm up to +12C. Mild rain.

El Nino man what's up with this next week for Calgary this is absolutely ridiculous it's got to be A.I. generated that's insane.

Screenshot_20231207_051607_Canada Weather.jpg

[SouthSardiswx]

6.6mm In the pond in south Sardis since midnight.

[stuffradio]

El Nino man what's up with this next week for Calgary this is absolutely ridiculous it's got to be A.I. generated that's insane.
Screenshot_20231207_051607_Canada Weather.jpg

Chinook Wind?

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (2).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

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20231207143343-a269b51ab5d747bacdd1d42d071302c0ac369389.png

20231207143327-9a1fbd4585b853f8b394a3177f12085dc39ce8a7.png

[SouthSardiswx]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png




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20231207143343-a269b51ab5d747bacdd1d42d071302c0ac369389.png
20231207143327-9a1fbd4585b853f8b394a3177f12085dc39ce8a7.png

Game tonight to keep my mind off of this hot mess Tmild.

[wetcoast91]

Chinook Wind?

That and an unusually strong ridge.



Still waiting for the development of a strong Greenland block. This either lock us into a lengthy spell of and torch the entire nation or lead to the formation of a massive ridge while dropping the hammer out east.



No white christmas for anyone.

Look at the for the North Coast!

[stuffradio]

That and an unusually strong ridge.



Still waiting for the development of a strong Greenland block. This either lock us into a lengthy spell of and torch the entire nation or lead to the formation of a massive ridge while dropping the hammer out east.



No white christmas for anyone.

Look at the for the North Coast!

That's why they call you El Nito.

[wetcoast91]

Models are trending snowier as we get closer to the event.

2-5cm in the LM. See signatures of a Fraser Outflow.
Monty could get 10-15cm.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

All ECMWF ensemble members now calling for snow this weekend at YVR. GFS not so enthusiastic, but I would much rather have the the support of the former than the latter if I must choose just one.

Note that the grid point for the Euro is higher and inland compared to that for the GFS. Considering this is a marginal setup, that probably does a lot to explain the difference. MBY is both higher and further inland yet, which bodes well for my chances.

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow-1928800.png

gfs-ensemble-all-CYVR-indiv_snow-1928800.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Latest Euro snowfall map.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2209600.png

[Catnip]

Models are trending snowier as we get closer to the event.

2-5cm in the LM. See signatures of a Fraser Outflow.
Monty could get 10-15cm.

The real question is... Did you pre-salt yet?