October 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

204.3mm thus far in October, as measured at the rain gauge in northeast Coquitlam.

173.6 mm imby

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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20231021154258-8351f142b25e9cbe7850b1283172d029a1e59610.png

20231021154216-34107c23c8b97446897bf68db7d42393b08d0a3e.png

[stuffradio]

The 12Z GFS says Abbotsford will drop to -2 mid-week.

gfs_2023102112_fh120_sounding_CYXX.png

[Typeing3]

12z ECMWF: day 3 to 7 would be followed by in December/January. Let's hope for a repeat!

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_nwus_fh72-168.gif

850mb temps

ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh72-168.gif

Surface temps

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_fh72-168.gif

[SouthSardiswx]

12z ECMWF: day 3 to 7 would be followed by in December/January. Let's hope for a repeat!
ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_nwus_fh72-168.gif




850mb temps
ecmwf_T850_nwus_fh72-168.gif




Surface temps
ecmwf_T2m_nwus_fh72-168.gif

In a perfect world Tchill we reached a high of 16c in central valley today and it's currently 13c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[tyweather]

South sound and eastern Vancouver Island snow?

[SouthSardiswx]

South sound and eastern Vancouver Island snow?

Now that's teasing Tcheese perhaps 91-92 l hope not that dud of a winter was absolutely horrible l remember that one well.

[SouthSardiswx]

And here is your first map of the Arctic fart for the 23/24 season.

Screenshot_20231021_201008_MyRadar.jpg

[tyweather]

Shows snow again

[SouthSardiswx]

Shows snow again

Now that's beginning to look absolutely ridiculous for this time of year 4 weeks from now perhaps.
And the A.F. is loosing it, this shows Seattle as well no way.

[Coquitlam79]

Models trending drier. I've spent the last week at my cabin at Charlotte Lake in the Chilcotin and shocked at the low lake level and lack of even a speck of snow on the mountains. Drought is still alive and well in this region of the province.

[SouthSardiswx]

Models trending drier. I've spent the last week at my cabin at Charlotte Lake in the Chilcotin and shocked at the low lake level and lack of even a speck of snow on the mountains. Drought is still alive and well in this region of the province.

Oh great Cman79 there's always the traditional rug pull of course
I hope we don't end up in ridge hell thats boring.

[SouthSardiswx]

Wow A.I. Canada has dropped the overnight lows later in the week for the central valley. -2c with single digit highs look at temps for the Okanagan and points further north looking early winterish right El Neeters.

[Catnip]

FD09350E-53B6-4AF0-AB9C-DBBAB6FFD7FD.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Shows snow again

Got surface temp and DP maps? My money is on 3c rain.