October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:50 pm What about Dec/17 Thead? I know we did in Mission.
Yeah we did in Dec '17 as well.

Overall, winter '16-17 (most persistently chilly winter across our region since '92-93) was leagues better than '17-18 though. Even though the latter was a fairly decent winter.
Last edited by Typeing3 on Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I wonder where Gimps is must have dozzed off after that exciting Knuckle game. :hockey:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Coquitlam79 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 7:41 pm Only 11mm so far today in south Sardis lame. :thumbdown:
Was pouring all day here. Storm totals of 53mm at Burke mtn. They were calling for up to 150mm but that's by the end of the AR on Sunday. Looks like the front has weakened and stalled but should get re-energized as the parent low moves closer.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:52 pm Yeah we did in Dec '17 as well.

Overall, winter '16-17 (most persistently chilly winter across our region since '92-93) was leagues better than '17-18 though. Even though the latter was a fairly decent winter.
Yes agreed however l felt January/17 kinda blew a tire as the month went on.
Didn't we transition out of a chilly pattern with one of our inversion patterns which blew any chance of a region wide snow event.
I recall too much El Nito's favorite warm air aloft.
I do recall Wintergirl in Squamish scored.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:57 pm Was pouring all day here. Storm totals of 53mm at Burke mtn. They were calling for up to 150mm but that's by the end of the AR on Sunday. Looks like the front has weakened and stalled but should get re-energized as the parent low moves closer.
Thanks for the update C, yeah like John said a bust out here in the central valley,
There's no rainfall warning up for our area.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 9:01 pm Thanks for the update C, yeah like John said a bust out here in the central valley,
There's no rainfall warning up for our area.
Rainfall warning still up for here. It's rained pretty much all day, some of it heavy, other times just a sprinkle. I'll check the total in my rain gauge bucket later tonight.

Sardine, if you need more water I'll be happy to send all of tomorrow's your way, we've got enough here now. :lol: :lol:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 9:24 pm Rainfall warning still up for here. It's rained pretty much all day, some of it heavy, other times just a sprinkle. I'll check the total in my rain gauge bucket later tonight.

Sardine, if you need more water I'll be happy to send all of tomorrow's your way, we've got enough here now. :lol: :lol:
Well it be nice then l could take a swim to visit John Ms. Overflowingcreek.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

25.1 mm here today. :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 9:53 pm 25.1 mm here today. :thumbup:
That's insane Jr.man more half that total in south Sardis. :shock:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:58 pm Yes agreed however l felt January/17 kinda blew a tire as the month went on.
Didn't we transition out of a chilly pattern with one of our inversion patterns which blew any chance of a region wide snow event.
I recall too much El Nito's favorite warm air aloft.
I do recall Wintergirl in Squamish scored.
Yeah the first two weeks of Jan 2017 were chilly overall with widespread snowcover across the mainland, mostly from prior snowfalls in December (New year's Eve snowstorm being the most recent one).

There were a couple precip events but it was a tad too warm for most of us (3-5c). I think the valley got a bit of snow and freezing rain.

Mid-month we finally warmed up with a fairly mundane AR event that melted most of the snow, other than where it was piled up. Rest of the month was cool and alternated between showers and some dry days before temps dipped once again in the first week of Feb with a prolonged snowstorm.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

cfs-daily-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-7366400.png
cfs-daily-all-avg-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-7366400.png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 10:18 pm cfs-daily-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-7366400.png

cfs-daily-all-avg-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-7366400.png
:lol: it's always 30 day's away.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 9:31 pm Well it be nice then l could take a swim to visit John Ms. Overflowingcreek.
Creeks are running pretty good here. I can hear them when the wind and rain stop.

41 mm here for today. 10.5C temperature has been pretty steady all day too.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (12).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (13).png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Lame 14mm so far as of this time in south Sardis since Friday. :thumbdown:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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