November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Yes GFS. I'm sure we will end up with 36 inches of snow or whatever it says now. Just insane.

Glad to see a nice GEM run. The GEFS actually looked solid too in the mid range.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 8:59 am "subject to change - it's 2021"

#yearofextremes
:lol: Truest statement of the year! :lol: :lol: Let's hope it ends with 2021
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Wow. -EPO, tilted GOA ridge, SE ridge. Suddenly major pieces are coming together on an ensemble run. GEPS still not there yet but it's thinking about it.
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-t850_anom_stream-9396800.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:08 am Yes GFS. I'm sure we will end up with 36 inches of snow or whatever it says now. Just insane.

Glad to see a nice GEM run. The GEFS actually looked solid too in the mid range.
Definite cold signal. The Pacific is shutting down with a broad block developing.

It might be chilly to start but the pieces are starting to come together that show a pattern shift. Looks similar to December 2008 rather than 2007 based on some of the ensemble runs.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:08 am Yes GFS. I'm sure we will end up with 36 inches of snow or whatever it says now. Just insane.

Glad to see a nice GEM run. The GEFS actually looked solid too in the mid range.
Yay!!! Feetzzzzz :cheerlead: :cheerlead:

Being 2021 you never know, it's entirely possible. Yikes!! (We need a hiding under the bed smilie) :lol: :lol:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:06 am Getting that feeling that the hammer could drop in 8-14 days.

Saturday's system looks like December 22, 2020 on some runs. There is some colder air to work with on the Northern side of it.
giphy.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 9:39 am T3 stole this from AF just for you. GEM somewhat like the GFS. Credit goes to Rob who is awesome.
floop-gdps-2021112912.500h_anom.na(1).thumb.gif.ea3ff9cba57f10c47858f9e13c66ec39.gif
NW flow!
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:13 am Definite cold signal. The Pacific is shutting down with a broad block developing.

It might be chilly to start but the pieces are starting to come together that show a pattern shift. Looks similar to December 2008 rather than 2007 based on some of the ensemble runs.
Progression looks similar to Dec 1971 based on some runs.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:06 am Getting that feeling that the hammer could drop in 8-14 days.

Saturday's system looks like December 22, 2020 on some runs. There is some colder air to work with on the Northern side of it.
Dec 19, 2017 system was pretty similar as well.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Canada Goose wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:03 am 928.4 mm (rain + snow): https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2
lmao i love how the Goose steps in to lay down the stats!!! :clap: :clap:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:51 am lmao i love how the Goose steps in to lay down the stats!!! :clap: :clap:
Unfortunately that station does not separate rainfall and snowfall.

The airport recorded 862.1mm of rain and 47.1cm of snow for a total of 914.0mm of precip in the month.

Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 10:13 am Definite cold signal. The Pacific is shutting down with a broad block developing.

It might be chilly to start but the pieces are starting to come together that show a pattern shift. Looks similar to December 2008 rather than 2007 based on some of the ensemble runs.
Nito has spoken :clap: :clap: and it looks like he is jumping onto #TeamSnow :wave:
Dammmm the GFS looks tremendous around mid month. #SnowaSnow :thumbup:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

It would only make sense for us to get buried in snow this year right? Catnip says somethings brewing 8-) and GFS says it go time! Nito has jumped onto #TeamSnow as well. Snow starting around Dec 10 and going into Christmas would be a nice score for once :shifty: :shifty:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Mon Nov 29, 2021 11:03 am It would only make sense for us to get buried in snow this year right? Catnip says somethings brewing 8-) and GFS says it go time! Nito has jumped onto #TeamSnow as well. Snow starting around Dec 10 and going into Christmas would be a nice score for once :shifty: :shifty:
#1971
#1990
#2008

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Euro not buying it at all. :x
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