October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

[Catnip]

I am worried about the local ecology. Many native trees and plant species are dying and decaying due to the drought and the local streams are running way too low for salmon to migrate. Soil core profiles show decaying of root strucrures and loosening up of soils.

Any big windstorm may level Stanley Park

https://twitter.com/richardzussman/stat ... EtJeXuir-A

[Typeing3]

12:04 PM PDT Sunday 09 October 2022
Special weather statement in effect for:

Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster
Metro Vancouver - North Shore including West Vancouver and North Vancouver
Metro Vancouver - northeast including Coquitlam and Maple Ridge
Metro Vancouver - southeast including Surrey and Langley
Metro Vancouver - southwest including Richmond and Delta
Windy conditions are forecast to begin Monday afternoon for the South Coast.

Timespan: Monday near noon through Monday night.

Location: The South Coast.

Threat: Wind gusts to 60 km/h may toss loose objects and cause drought-weakened tree branches to break. These may give rise to injuries, damage, or power outages.

Remarks: A cold front will sweep through the South Coast Monday afternoon bringing our first wind event of the season. Northwest winds 40 km/h gusting 60 can be expected and will be strongest near the water and along the frontal passage. Conditions will ease Monday night as the front exits the province.

Little to no precipitation accumulation is expected during this time.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

[Typeing3]

https://twitter.com/richardzussman/stat ... EtJeXuir-A

Current state of the evergreen trees are primarily due to the looper moth infestation, which has been very prevalent throughout the park. See below:

https://vancouver.citynews.ca/2022/09/0 ... trees/amp/

https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/looper- ... anley-park

https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/loca ... bc-5763109

[SouthSardiswx]

That's the sunlight catching the trees at the right angle, what a tool Zussman is shoddy reporter for Global it's a refreshing early afternoon and 19c @ the pond in south Sardis.

[SouthSardiswx]

Nice Twind need some wind to freshen the air l don't think winds will get that strong in the central valley they never do perhaps more of a coastal wind event but still enough to blow afew Tims or Mcdees discarded coffee cups around on the streets of Chilliwack that people toss out the car window.

[Typeing3]

Driest Augusts (Abbotsford)
#1 -- 1986: 0.8mm

#2 -- 2017: 3.2mm

#3 -- 1974: 3.3mm

#4 -- 1970 and 2012: 3.8mm

#6 -- 1955: 6.1mm

#7 -- 2002: 6.6mm

#8 -- 2022: 7.1mm

#9 -- 2014: 7.6mm

#10 -- 2018: 8mm

#11 -- 1994: 8.1mm

#12 -- 1967: 10.7mm

#13 -- 2003: 10.8mm

#14 -- 1998: 11.2mm

#15 -- 1942: 11.4mm

#16 -- 1985: 11.6mm

#17 -- 1947: 12.4mm

#18 -- 1939: 13.5mm

#19 -- 1987: 13.9mm

#20 -- 2016: 14.5mm



Data: Upper Sumas (1936-1944) + YXX (1945-2022)

[Typeing3]

Driest Septembers (Abbotsford)
#1 -- 2022 0.9mm

#2 -- 2012 6.6mm

#3 -- 1991 9.2mm

#4 -- 1975 10.4mm

#5 -- 1989 11.4mm

#6 -- 1974 13mm

#7 -- 1998 13.5mm

#8 -- 1993 16mm

#9 -- 1999 19mm

#10 -- 1939: 19.8mm

#11 -- 2008: 22.2mm

#12 -- 1987: 25mm

#13 -- 1942: 26.2mm

#14 -- 1990: 29mm

#15 -- 1973: 32.5mm

#16 -- 1937: 35.6mm

#17 -- 1950: 39.1mm

#18 -- 1965: 40.6mm

#19 -- 1952 and 2006: 45.2mm



Data: Upper Sumas (1936-1944) + YXX (1945-2022)

[SouthSardiswx]

Current state of the evergreen trees are primarily due to the looper moth infestation, which has been very prevalent throughout the park.

So l rest my case Tmoth Zussman absolutely dropped the ball on this and did not do any investigative work on the cause of the evergreens looking so stressed. it's reasons like this that l'll watch CTV or City news seldom CBC just for a change of pace l find Global news misses alot of local news stories they don't qualify as the #1 news station. IMO

[Catnip]

Looks to be a combination of both the weather and the moths.

https://vancouversun.com/news/city-arbo ... anley-park

[Typeing3]

Driest August + Septembers (Abbotsford)
#1 -- 2022: 8mm

#2 -- 2012: 10.4mm

#3 -- 1974: 16.3mm

#4 -- 1998: 24.7mm

#5 -- 1939: 33.3mm

#6 -- 1942: 37.6mm

#7 -- 1987: 38.9mm

#8 -- 1993: 41.3mm

#9 -- 1973: 52.3mm

#10 -- 1955: 55.1mm

#11 -- 2002: 57.8mm

#12 -- 2006: 60.4mm

#13 -- 2003: 62.5mm

#14 -- 1952: 67.6mm

#15 -- 1946: 69.6mm

#16 -- 1990: 70.4mm

#17 -- 1949: 77.5mm

#18 -- 1957 and 2017: 78.7mm

#20 -- 1967: 80.3mm

#21 -- 1940: 81.7mm

#22 -- 2016: 84mm

#23 -- 1947: 85.6mm

#24 -- 1999: 85.8mm

#25 -- 1963: 86.1mm



Data: Upper Sumas (1936-1944) + YXX (1945-2022)

[Typeing3]

Driest Augusts (Vancouver)
#1 -- 1986: 0mm

#2 -- 1901: 1.3mm

#3 -- 1955: 2.8mm

#4 -- 2012: 2.9mm

#5 -- 1974: 3.3mm

#6 -- 1898: 3.8mm

#7 -- 2003: 4.1mm

#8 -- 2006: 4.8mm

#9 -- 2017: 5mm

#10 -- 1896, 1970, and 2002: 5.8mm

#13 -- 2000: 6mm

#14 -- 1919 and 1967: 6.1mm

#16 -- 2022: 6.4mm

#17 -- 1931: 6.6mm

#18 -- 1928 and 1947: 7.4mm

#20 -- 1930: 7.9mm

#21 -- 1942: 8.1mm

#22 -- 1998: 8.2mm

#23 -- 1915 and 2007: 8.4mm

#25 -- 1914: 9.4mm



Data: Steveston (1896-1936) + YVR (1937-2022)

[Bonovox]

Not much in the way of precip on the 12Z Euro.

[Typeing3]

Driest Septembers (Vancouver)
#1 -- 1975: 0.3mm

#2 -- 1993: 2.1mm

#3 -- 1942: 4.1mm

#4 -- 2012: 5mm

#5 -- 1918: 5.1mm

#6 -- 2022: 7mm

#7 -- 1991: 8.6mm

#8 -- 1915 and 1925: 9.4mm

#10 -- 1916: 10.9mm

#11 -- 1989 and 1998: 11.2mm

#13 -- 1965, 1995, and 1999: 15.2mm

#16 -- 1919: 18.3mm

#17 -- 1909: 20.1mm

#18 -- 1908: 20.3mm

#19 -- 1952: 20.6mm

#20 -- 1896: 23.4mm



Data: Steveston (1896-1936) + YVR (1937-2022)

[Roberts Creeker]

SWS for the Sunshine Coast too. Winds up to 60 km with cold front, high of only 17c tomorrow brrrrr.

I hope the power doesn't go out, I'm cooking a turkey.

[Bonovox]

I would love a drizzly/misty 5c day right about now.