November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12712
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22161 times
Been thanked: 24529 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

18z GFS day 12. Mild/wet AR transitioning to cold rain/wet snow with a strong push of chilly (maritime influenced) air from the N/NW.
511f61a2-da8d-41c2-9072-fd9a6254ae73.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12712
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22161 times
Been thanked: 24529 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rainfall from now until 4pm tomorrow.
W and S Metro Vancouver = ~25-50mm
N and E Metro Vancouver = ~50-100mm (locally more over N sections)
Fraser Valley = ~50-100mm (locally more over N sections)
pcp24.36.0000.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5624
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10374 times
Been thanked: 10136 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

hrdps-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-8129600.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Top
User avatar
Weather101
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5094
Joined: Fri Feb 22, 2019 7:27 am
Location: Richmond
Elevation: 3 Ft
Has thanked: 4754 times
Been thanked: 7100 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 2:26 pm I do think odds are better than even that most of us will see an impactful lowland snow event next month. La Niña, 1990 as an analog, hints in the models. Just too many signs to ignore.
I agree
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12712
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22161 times
Been thanked: 24529 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next weekend looks pretty chilly per the 18z GFS. Flurries on Sunday?
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_32.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12712
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22161 times
Been thanked: 24529 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

https://mobile.twitter.com/ECCCWeatherB ... 6130784258
https://mobile.twitter.com/EmergencyInf ... 2238056448
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Brutal.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 3:39 pm Next weekend looks pretty chilly per the 18z GFS. Flurries on Sunday?
Yup. :shock:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12712
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22161 times
Been thanked: 24529 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 3:52 pmYup. :shock:
Was good run overall past day 6. Shades of Dec 1971. 8-)
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 3:56 pm Was good run overall past day 6. Shades of Dec 1971. 8-)
I don't put much stock into analogs, but ever since you brought up 71-72, it fits pretty well.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12712
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22161 times
Been thanked: 24529 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

OP was still out of touch with the ensembles but there seems to be baby step improvements. Mean on the 18z doesn't spike around Dec5/6th anymore. Though there is definitely two distinct camps (both warm (around 4/5c) and cold (around -5/-6c)).
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Top
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6195
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6148 times
Been thanked: 14114 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

May as well just wash away all remnants of highway 8 at this point.
Top
User avatar
Slytyguy
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 240
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:49 pm
Location: Sardis
Elevation: 21 m
Has thanked: 1236 times
Been thanked: 649 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

One silver lining is that our reservoirs will be topped up. Seems like it wasn't long ago there were news stories about Nestle waters in Hope taking too much of our water lol. Different context, but still kinda funny.
-Sardis #greatdaytobeaduck
Top
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6424
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14708 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 27, 2021 4:00 pm OP was still out of touch with the ensembles but there seems to be baby step improvements. Mean on the 18z doesn't spike around Dec5/6th anymore. Though there is definitely two distinct camps (both warm (around 4/5c) and cold (around -5/-6c)).
Lots of blocking around on that run. It wouldn't take much to turn it into something good.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9247 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Raining here. 17mm.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”