November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 11:57 am 30cm near Campbell River based on the GFS.
Good to see Nito strongly on
#teamsnow :wave: :wave:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 8:12 am This low is fortunately not riding the jet stream. We are now talking about a major snowstorm for Eastern Vancouver Island. Wow.

[img]
Impressive.

Outflow would dry out the Lower Mainland. :lol:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 12:30 pm Impressive.

Outflow would dry out the Lower Mainland. :lol:
DP’s arouind -1˚C say otherwise.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-2104000.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-2104000.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: :alert: :shock: :shock: :alert: :alert:

xx_model-en-197-0_modez_2024111512_111_15805_149.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Hawk
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

18z incoming..its that time of the year buttees 8-)
(looking ok to start with) :think:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Hawk
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 2:03 pm :alert: :alert: :shock: :shock: :alert: :alert:


xx_model-en-197-0_modez_2024111512_111_15805_149.png
its like a Hurricane (PNW style i guess i dunno) :shock: :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 2:05 pm its like a Hurricane (PNW style i guess i dunno) :shock: :shock:
Yup, 945 mbar is a strong Cat 3, typically. Not a hurricane due to it not being a tropical system, of course.

Our strongest windstorms are comparable to Cat 1–3 hurricanes when it comes to winds and central pressure.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

18Z GFS is out.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-refc_ptype-2093200.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2136400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Hawk
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: :alert:
wow..already getting snow..and within 72 hours :shock: :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

EC just dropped "wet snow over higher terrain" in tomorrow's forecast. Is there *ANY* basis whatsoever for this? Because I think they're tripping...
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 2:03 pm :alert: :alert: :shock: :shock: :alert: :alert:


xx_model-en-197-0_modez_2024111512_111_15805_149.png
If the low remains offshore to the W and at that strength we could be looking at some gusty outflow winds.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 4:07 pm If the low remains offshore to the W and at that strength we could be looking at some gusty outflow winds.
:clap: :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 12:06 pm 8-)
Snows come early this year = warning shot, preparing us for the December to Remember :shock: :shock:
Tell Em Buttee!!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Fri Nov 15, 2024 3:54 pm EC just dropped "wet snow over higher terrain" in tomorrow's forecast. Is there *ANY* basis whatsoever for this? Because I think they're tripping...
Perhaps the warning shot before the warning shot?

:think: :think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

18Z ECMWF still looks interesting.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-2006800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-2039200.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-2006800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-2006800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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