November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19580
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53300 times
Been thanked: 16733 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:17 pm Maybe a freeze by Friday. They've been few and far between so far this fall.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_26.png
Ah the good ole Rocky mountain high sliding off to the east. :roll:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12694
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22119 times
Been thanked: 24495 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z HRDPS total rainfall thru Sunday 4pm. About 25-100mm across the mainland depending on location.
hrdps_apcpn_nwus_48.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12694
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22119 times
Been thanked: 24495 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z 3km WRF-GFS total rainfall through Sunday 4pm.

75-125mm across most of the mainland, except less over W/SW sections.
pcp48.48.0000.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19580
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53300 times
Been thanked: 16733 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:21 am 00z 3km WRF-GFS total rainfall through Sunday 4pm.

75-125mm across most of the mainland, except less over W/SW sections.

pcp48.48.0000.gif
Yikes!
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19580
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53300 times
Been thanked: 16733 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Fri Nov 26, 2021 1:27 pm We had 2 weeks of ridge with fog and heavy frost. The 2nd half of the month featured some small snowfalls around Christmas. That year the mountains had a lot of snow in November though.
Love the ole bike shots Ty my man, miss those days.
Hrard about an active shooter in Vanderhoof on Thursday shot up the RCMP detachment. :crazy:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12694
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22119 times
Been thanked: 24495 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:35 amYikes!
Indeed. Potential for 150-250mm in the mountains north of the Fraser spanning the entire lower mainland from West Vancouver all the way east towards Hope from tomorrow morning thru late Sunday. Increases runnoff with the high snow levels.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19580
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53300 times
Been thanked: 16733 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:09 am How's the situation at Sumas lake, Hwy 1 still open? Not that I'll travel on it anytime soon.

Nothing but blue skies right now :shock:
As of Friday evening @ 8p.m. Grumps there's many spots where the water is only afew mm from over topping hiway 1 between West of Yale rd west and Whatcom rd l wouldn't be surprised if they shut er down again Saturday evening.
We need a very long stretch of dry day's and as we know that won't happen this time of year.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19580
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53300 times
Been thanked: 16733 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

And there's goes the 06Z GooFasS again off the rails again. :drunk: :eek: :bs:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6997
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12758 times
Been thanked: 6488 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Omg look at that AR disaster GFS is showing around Dec 11 and 12 :shock: :shock:
If that verifies we're going to get flooded off the map. Only 14 days away!!
Last edited by Hawk on Sat Nov 27, 2021 6:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2593
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3955 times
Been thanked: 4226 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 3:59 am Omg look at that a disaster GFS is showing around Dec 11 and 12 :shock: :shock:
If that verifies we're going to get flooded off the map. Only 14 days away!!
:thumbdown: :eh:
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 68 times
Been thanked: 3589 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Nov 27, 2021 12:39 am Love the ole bike shots Ty my man, miss those days.
Hrard about an active shooter in Vanderhoof on Thursday shot up the RCMP detachment. :crazy:
Quite the crazy story. My father inlaw was on lockdown downtown.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6997
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12758 times
Been thanked: 6488 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Well im hoping for the best for all people living in flood/landslide prone areas. This next 14 days looks to bring up to 4 more AR events, with 2 or 3 of this likely to be catastrophically significant..I really hope the models are wrong, and good thing the last 2 AR's are several days away so hopefully the models are #modelfail :nocomment: :nocomment:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6997
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12758 times
Been thanked: 6488 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I also should add that if Hwy3 gets pumbled with these AR's, i hope no further slides/washouts otherwise we will be completely shut down in our own little bubble for months :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
Expect prices to rise again :sorry: :sorry: , especially anything to do with transport. Oh wait, that includes everything :roll: :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9735
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11921 times
Been thanked: 21531 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:
BA4599CB-5A20-4DB0-8AD3-A6B0FBDE7974.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9735
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 11921 times
Been thanked: 21531 times

Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:
749BE2CC-4009-41CB-8932-F7A597EC7470.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Post Reply