January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:02 am One model run isn’t a trend.
It is according to Uncle John.

:cry:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

This place is essentially sounding exactly like the American forum. Sadly.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12z wasn't a good run for those wanting crazy cold, however it was a decent run for those wanting snow.

I didn't mind it.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Pumpkin Seed
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:11 am 12z wasn't a good run for those wanting crazy cold, however it was a decent run for those wanting snow.

I didn't mind it.

:shrug:
Me 2. Don’t need crazy cold. Just cold enough for snowing, that’s perfect!
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tyweather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

12Z keeps us chilly with a chance of snow for a week. I will take it!
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 6:03 am I have a 1 Year old next month!
Time flies.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:11 am 12z wasn't a good run for those wanting crazy cold, however it was a decent run for those wanting snow.

I didn't mind it.

:shrug:
I liked it better than the 6Z. Blocking configuration looks more sustainable. FWIW. GEM looked pretty good. I have a good feeling about something around day 8-9
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:09 am This place is essentially sounding exactly like the American forum. Sadly.
Models have yet another burst of warming in the stratosphere around the time of the pattern change. This could very easily be causing the chaotic flip flopping we are seeing in the long range.

I think in general, another Polar Vortex disruption would end up going in our favour. The longer we can keep the vortex weak the better.

But it does make predictability in the long range nearly impossible.
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Early Feb.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ensembles still running but it looks like the OP is on the high side of the mean.
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(1).jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:32 amEarly Feb.
#beginningofFEB

C'MON!!!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

GEM

#ridgebridge
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:32 amEarly Feb.
Honestly, cold onshore flow with low snow levels followed by arctic air in early February would be fine by me. I'd take that in an instant. :thumbup: :clap:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:01 am :lol: December 25 onward was special alright
I was wrong about that your right
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:02 am One model run isn’t a trend.
No but a bunch in a row trending warmer is...
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