August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[Bonovox]

18Z Euro was a bit drier for the southern half of the province.

I'm still getting the feeling this is going to be one of those times when everyone is expecting rain, the models are showing rain and then it fizzles as it arrives and we end up getting 1/2 of the amounts advertised at best. Who knows though.

[Bonovox]

00Z Icon is horrible.

Just watch as the precip fizzles as it approaches the Lower Mainland.

[SouthSardiswx]

nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-8193600.png

nbm-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-8193600.png

nbm-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-8193600.png

This seems more accurate than the 20c difference between YVR & YXX it was showing afew day's ago.

[Monty]

The interior needs rain. Serious situation there tonight

“August 5 1900 Update
The White Rock Lake wildfire is displaying extremely vigorous surface and active crown fire. Steady southwesterly winds continue to push the fire northeast. BC Wildfire Service personnel and RCMP are on-site tactically evacuating those who have chosen to remain in Evacuation Orders area in the Monte Lake and Westwold area. Tactical evacuations may not always be possible and put first responders at risk. In a volatile wildfire situation such as this one, first responders and other authorized personnel may not be able to reach an evacuated area because of a risk to their own safety or because access routes are blocked. Evacuation routes can change rapidly and quickly become impassable due to a wildfires behaviour. This afternoon the White Rock Lake wildfire breached Highway 97 just south of Monte Lake. If you have received an Evacuation Order, please leave the area immediately egressing south towards Vernon.”

[Canada Goose]

1.0 mm in Coquitlam. Streak over.

[Bonovox]

The interior needs rain. Serious situation there tonight

Well, the ICON basically said no, but the GFS is trying. Just not nearly enough.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS total precip over the next three days:

gfs_apcpn_nwus_14.png

00z ICON:

icon_apcpn_nwus_28.png

[Bonovox]

1.0 mm in Coquitlam. Streak over.

Good riddance. Dry streaks are the absolute worst.

[Typeing3]

1.0 mm in Coquitlam. Streak over.

Given we don't see a fall pattern set up earlier than usual, we're still in the running for one of the driest Jun-Aug periods in recorded history. Maybe even Jun-Sep if the fall rains hold off for longer.

[Typeing3]

Deluge on the 00z RGEM!

[Glacier]

Wind picking up... White Rock Lake fire ripped through Monte Lake with structures lost. Not sure if the store survived. Outskirts of Kamloops now being evacuated (Barnhartvale Rd area and also Robins range Rd.)

[Bonovox]

Deluge on the 00z RGEM!

Likely way overdone. This is the RGEM and HRDPS at 48 hours.

[PortKells]

Likely way overdone. This is the RGEM and HRDPS at 48 hours.

It's over before it started. Damn.

[Bonovox]

It's over before it started. Damn.

I'd see what the Euro says tonight before sticking a fork in it.

[SouthSardiswx]

Wind picking up... White Rock Lake fire ripped through Monte Lake with structures lost. Not sure if the store survived. Outskirts of Kamloops now being evacuated (Barnhartvale Rd area and also Robins range Rd.)

Wowzers yeah it was just on CKNW news.