November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Forrest Gump]

Hounddog , did you hear about today's college football egg bowl game , player scores a touchdown near the end of game and celebrates by doing the dog pee pose , referee gives him a 15 yard unsportsmanlike penalty , so ball gets moved back by 15 yards for the convert attempt to tie the game and kicker misses and they lose the championship

[Typeing3]

It was the 14th or 15th for me

It was the 13th I believe. Some areas got hit pretty hard that night with that initial arctic front.

[Typeing3]

Well Mr. Typeing Hat trick , you've been beating the January drum pretty good , not sure if the odds are with you or against you
Maybe in the year 2525 , if Sardineman is still alive.

I'd like to think the odds are in our favour. Our last cold January was way back in 1993.

[AbbyJr]

If we follow that script into the new year, we'd be easily looking at our coldest January in a couple decades...Jan 1980 averaged 0.5C in Vancouver, 0.1C in Pitt Meadows and -0.1C in Abbotsford.

What do you think the odds are of that verifying?

[Typeing3]

What do you think the odds are of that verifying?

Toss a coin. That'd probably be more accurate than any long range weather prediction.

[AbbyJr]

Toss a coin. That'd probably be more accurate than any long range weather prediction.

[Typeing3]

Coldest night of the season so far...currently -2.1C here.

[Monty]

I wonder why there was so much consistency with the models back then whereas now they often struggle run to run?

It’s all pattern related. The models are better than they used to be. I seem to remember last February being fairly well predicted in the models, at least a week out. I could be mistaken.

[AbbyJr]

It’s all pattern related. The models are better than they used to be. I seem to remember last February being fairly well predicted in the models, at least a week out. I could be mistaken.

Good point. I was thinking the same thing about the February event as well.

[AbbyJr]

January curse broken?

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-7836800.png

[Monty]

January curse broken?

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-z500_anom-7836800.png

Would be nice. FWIW my winter forecast was warm November, cool December, cold January. Still feels pretty plausible. Here’s hoping.

[SouthSardiswx]

Is it December yet, it's time to flip SardineMan's work calendar.

l get the honors when l return to work on Sunday afternoon.

[SouthSardiswx]

Coldest night of the season so far...currently -2.1C here.

Still breezy here in south Sardis so only 0c.

[SouthSardiswx]

Hounddog , did you hear about today's college football egg bowl game , player scores a touchdown near the end of game and celebrates by doing the dog pee pose , referee gives him a 15 yard unsportsmanlike penalty , so ball gets moved back by 15 yards for the convert attempt to tie the game and kicker misses and they lose the championship

l was out for dinner tonight and saw the highlights of that game in the restaurant, the kicker was devastated and was crawling on the field in disbelief when he missed.

[SouthSardiswx]

Toss a coin. That'd probably be more accurate than any long range weather prediction.

El Nito does that every day with his same sided coin he never looses.