February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 12:22 pm I only got down to 0.2C last night. That's only the fourth day this month that I haven't hit freezing. It might still drop to freezing later this evening.

I had a streak of 21 days with lows <0C from Feb 3rd to Feb 23rd. I also recorded five sub-freezing highs during that time.
FWIW, EC shows Abbotsford dipping to a low of -6 Friday and -9 Saturday. I suppose it's possible if we don't get any wind.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

newwestguy wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 12:18 pm Latest NAM 18z 3km has nada/zilch/squat. NAM is dumb anyways though. #teamsnow4life
F*** them, go eat a snowball nam!
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Monty
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 12:22 pm I only got down to 0.2C last night. That's only the fourth day this month that I haven't hit freezing. It might still drop to freezing later this evening.

I had a streak of 21 days with lows <0C from Feb 3rd to Feb 23rd. I also recorded five sub-freezing highs during that time.
-0.5C here last night. 26th consecutive freeze.

Models show the airmass cooling substantially tonight as the wind dies and some precip moves up from the South. I’d guess a couple Cm’s is a good bet. Someone might get 5cm.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 12:29 pm FWIW, EC shows Abbotsford dipping to a low of -6 Friday and -9 Saturday. I suppose it's possible if we don't get any wind.
It would certainly be nice to score a calm clear cold night out of this pattern. I don't believe we've had a single one this month.
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 12:54 pm -0.5C here last night. 26th consecutive freeze.

Models show the airmass cooling substantially tonight as the wind dies and some precip moves up from the South. I’d guess a couple Cm’s is a good bet. Someone might get 5cm.
Interesting... I'm guessing you managed a freeze on the 2nd. It only got down to 1.6C here that day, and also on the 24th it only got down to 0.7C here.

I swear that area has the best climate in southwest BC. You seem to maximize cold and snowfall from almost any pattern. Pretty nice summers, too.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Looks like it's snowing in South parts of Seattle metro with temps in the low 40sF. Bodes well for us later on.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by newwestguy »

Is it time to forget the models and NOWCAST yet? lol
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 1:08 pm Looks like it's snowing in South parts of Seattle metro with temps in the low 40sF. Bodes well for us later on.
Just need enough moisture!

:mrgreen:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 1:02 pm Interesting... I'm guessing you managed a freeze on the 2nd. It only got down to 1.6C here that day, and also on the 24th it only got down to 0.7C here.

I swear that area has the best climate in southwest BC. You seem to maximize cold and snowfall from almost any pattern. Pretty nice summers, too.
Looks like we just snuck one in near sunrise on the 2nd. Must have been some clearing on the South Island because I think YYJ did too.

Since then our warmest low has been -0.5C.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

newwestguy wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 1:13 pm Is it time to forget the models and NOWCAST yet? lol
Yes,let's see if it snows at +5° to+7°
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Abby_wx wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 1:02 pm

I swear that area has the best climate in southwest BC. You seem to maximize cold and snowfall from almost any pattern. Pretty nice summers, too.
Let's all move in with Monty! :pickme:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 1:17 pm Just need enough moisture!

:mrgreen:
I don’t think temps will be that much of an issue if you see any type of sustained precip.

It’s been flurrying lightly on and off here at +3
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by newwestguy »

Is any part of this setup similar to last Tuesday? I've already forgotten what happened.
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Zone8 »

Where I am all the properties on one the side of the street still have snow and the ground is frozen solid. On the otherside (facing the south sunshine) there's no snow, all the crocuses are out and the daffodils are poking through! Its like living in two different climates from one side to the other!

I'm not sure how we'll do later on. If the ground is still frozen that may help a bit?! Here's hoping!! :thumbup:
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Re: February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Zone8 wrote: Wed Feb 27, 2019 1:29 pm Where I am all the properties on one the side of the street still have snow and the ground is frozen solid. On the otherside (facing the south sunshine) there's no snow, all the crocuses are out and the daffodils are poking through! Its like living in two different climates from one side to the other!

I'm not sure how we'll do later on. If the ground is still frozen that may help a bit?! Here's hoping!! :thumbup:
yeah...its exactly like that! I have crocuses blooming in my spring like, south facing, front yard. The backyard is in complete shade and I still have 3 or 4" of wet snow there. Its a bit disconcerting. Spring in the front, winter in the back.
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