January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 06, 2025 8:34 pm Yep, it's like groundhog day. Doesn't feel dry with all the moisture in the air.
Hope your not claustrophobic Tfoggy you could be socked in for awhile. :o
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Afraid to check out the AF probably lots of coronary patients. :lol:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

-0.6c here at midnight now at 1 am it's bounced up to +0.6. It's cold and frozen outside and somewhat clear, I could see a few stars.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

0c and still foggy in east Coquitlam.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 5:53 am 0c and still foggy in east Coquitlam.
Going to be an annoying commute for sure.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Clear and frosty this am with an overnight low of -1.3c

#smallvictories
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 8:45 am Clear and frosty this am with an overnight low of -1.3c

#smallvictories
Looks like the models want to introduce another mild and wet pattern at the end of Jan again with the strong aleutian low taking hold.

Those long-range CFS and Euro weeklies are total garbage.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Things got ugly fast. Nito with a big W. Will we have our revenge?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

When was the last time YVR recorded no more than a trace of snow for an entire winter?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 10:42 am When was the last time YVR recorded no more than a trace of snow for an entire winter?
2002-2003 and 2014-2015 were completely snowless during the winter (but had snow in the fall).

2015-2016 saw us have a trace (1cm) which was really wet slush mixed with hail).

All 3 were El Nino winters.

I am betting we finally see the Pacific calm down by mid-late Feb into March which may spoil any chance of a snowless winter. Extreme cold appears to be out of the cards though.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 8:56 am Looks like the models want to introduce another mild and wet pattern at the end of Jan again with the strong aleutian low taking hold.

Those long-range CFS and Euro weeklies are total garbage.
Tell em again Nito!!

I have it at 5-0 for Nito..during this LN winter.. with promises and model busts a weekly occurrence :shh:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 10:51 am 2002-2003 and 2014-2015 were completely snowless during the winter (but had snow in the fall).

2015-2016 saw us have a trace (1cm) which was really wet slush mixed with hail).

All 3 were El Nino winters.

I am betting we finally see the Pacific calm down by mid-late Feb into March which may spoil any chance of a snowless winter. Extreme cold appears to be out of the cards though.
By “winter” I meant cold season, so none of those had a trace or less. (Even 1 cm of slush is more than a trace.)

Just playing the odds, then, odds are we do see something in the way of sticking snow.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 10:42 am When was the last time YVR recorded no more than a trace of snow for an entire winter?
Even during the really bad stretch (2014-15 and 2015-16) YVR recorded measurable snowfall. Late November 2014 and early January 2016.

There was also couple traces mixed in during April 2015 and December 2015 if I recall correctly.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 10:51 am 2002-2003 and 2014-2015 were completely snowless during the winter (but had snow in the fall).

2015-2016 saw us have a trace (1cm) which was really wet slush mixed with hail).

All 3 were El Nino winters.

I am betting we finally see the Pacific calm down by mid-late Feb into March which may spoil any chance of a snowless winter. Extreme cold appears to be out of the cards though.
Extreme cold has always been rare here apart from the 50's and 60's. But I do think there is still a good chance for a colder period with some snow even if we have to wait until February. Perhaps a 2014 style setup? We'll have to see but I'd be surprised if this winter busts entirely. :think: :wave:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 07, 2025 9:56 am Things got ugly fast. Nito with a big W. Will we have our revenge?
Just as quickly as the models can fall apart they can also flip back to eye candy. Model consistency has been lacking and the earliest potential pattern change is still well over 200hrs out. Things don't look promising as of now but winter isn't over yet either. Time will tell. We'll see. :silent: :wave:
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