December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Longer range models sure have a look to them.

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[wetcoast91]

Longer range models sure have a look to them.

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This is expected.

Cold stays in AK/Siberia for most of Dec. I have a feeling a block will develop in the Western portion of North America come Jan with a Greenland block in place leading to a persistent cold pattern for the Eastern CONUS. Lots of snow for the Eastern seaboard and SW US.

[Catnip]

This is expected.

Cold stays in AK/Siberia for most of Dec. I have a feeling a block will develop in the Western portion of North America come Jan with a Greenland block in place leading to a persistent cold pattern for the Eastern CONUS. Lots of snow for the Eastern seaboard and SW US.

I hope you're wrong, but this outcome wouldn't surprise me.



I'm still going to thinK COLD N SNOW... C'MON!!!!

[PortKells]

This is expected.

Cold stays in AK/Siberia for most of Dec. I have a feeling a block will develop in the Western portion of North America come Jan with a Greenland block in place leading to a persistent cold pattern for the Eastern CONUS. Lots of snow for the Eastern seaboard and SW US.

I’m not saying you’re wrong but you say this every year lol. They are probably due, as weird as that sounds.

[wetcoast91]

I hope you're wrong, but this outcome wouldn't surprise me.



I'm still going to thinK COLD N SNOW... C'MON!!!!

We are overdue for a dud winter. The law of averages combined with a post Nino crash would lead to a very different outcome in 2024-25. May be worth it!

[Bonovox]

I’m not saying you’re wrong but you say this every year lol. They are probably due, as weird as that sounds.

Last week of December and early January will be our window. It may happen, it may not. Who knows.

[Catnip]

I’m not saying you’re wrong but you say this every year lol. They are probably due, as weird as that sounds.

Neetz hasn't updated his script in a few years.



Although this year the odds are more in his favor.

But let's not give up hope yet!

[wetcoast91]

snow_wizard
Posted 1 hour ago
Another very interesting GFS run. Always a good sign when it keeps coming back.

[Catnip]

I'm assuming he is talking about the blocking? Doesn't look very favorable for us at the moment?



Edit. I do see the potential for more 's though.

[Coquitlam79]

113.9mm storm total recorded at the northeast Coquitlam rain gauge.

92.9mm from 10am to midnight.
21.0mm from midnight to 6am.

The creeks and rivers are almost at the flood stage. But western Washington is getting even more. Some areas over 10 inches (250mm). Major flooding expected on many rivers in Western Washington..They got it worse than us.

[Bonovox]

Neetz hasn't updated his script in a few years.



Although this year the odds are more in his favor.

But let's not give up hope yet!

It is interesting as I get older, I still LOVE snow, but care less and less about the let downs. The Nito propaganda machine doesn’t quite get to me like it once did.

[Typeing3]

Final storm total (Dec 4 10am - Dec 5 7am): 114.4mm

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

First-class quality torching in Oregon yesterday.

Code: Select all

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OREGON
1243 AM PST TUE DEC 5 2023

...UPDATED NEW DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR DECEMBER 4... 

 RECORD              04 DEC      RECORD       PREV RECORD 
 HIGHS               MAX TEMP    STATUS       FOR 04 DEC 
---------------------------------------------------------- 
Portland Airport        67     *** NEW        64 in 1945
Vancouver, WA           66     *** NEW        63 in 2007 
Hillsboro               63     *** NEW        60 in 1945, 2007 
Salem                   63     *** TIED       63 in 1945

============================================================

NEW RECORD FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE EVER IN DECEMBER AT PDX...

Portland       High of 67 on 04 Dec 2023 
 Airport       NEW warmest maximum temp ever in December
                (breaks previous record of 65 set on 10 Dec 1993)

===========================================================
Station Period of Records:
  
  Portland Airport   1940-2023
  Vancouver, WA      1895-2023
  Hillsboro          1929-2023
  Salem              1892-2023

$$

[wetcoast91]

I'm assuming he is talking about the blocking? Doesn't look very favorable for us at the moment?



Edit. I do see the potential for more 's though.

At least the swamps and ponds across the South Coast are doing well. Hopefully more rain falls across Vancouver Island too.

[Weather101]

He really doesn't know what he's talking about lol he's legitimately a professional wish caster.