January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[tyweather]

snow depths in western Japan, even at sea level

[stuffradio]

Strong signal for below normal temps in 8 to 14 day period.

2021011412_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_186.png

[Glacier]

1929 was leagues better than 1996. 20-40cm accumulated over several days across Metro Vancouver just as a deep freeze set in for about a week with highs below -5c and lows near -15c. Then we completely dried out for about half a month in early-mid Feb.

The Fraser froze solid enough by early Feb that people were skating on the river in New West. The first half of January was chilly with average temps around 1-2c which primed the river for a freeze when the arctic air hit.

See this article for more info: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbc.ca/amp/1.3926794
skating-on-the-fraser-1929.jpg

Comparing snow before 1953 (no snow depth data) is as impossible as comparing goalies before 1955 (no save percentage stats). Given how cold some of the winters were like in 1929 or 1916, there was probably much more snow on the ground and for much longer when compared to anything in recent memory.

[SouthSardiswx]

How much snow for Chilliwack? asking for afew peeps out here.

[stuffradio]

How much snow for Chilliwack? asking for afew peeps out here.

Just frozen rain

[SouthHillFrosty]

18z running! Pray for pineapples and warmth!

[Catnip]

Weeklies

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[Bonovox]

It was another good EPS run this morning. When the EPS is this consistent. It is rarely wrong. We'll see.

[SouthSardiswx]

It will come early Feb. Any sign of blocking, even unfavorable blocking the next 2 weeks is a good sign for those wanting cold and snow.

El Nito put away his pineapples.

[Catnip]

-PNA for #allofFEB?

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[Bonovox]

-PNA for #allofFEB?

pna.png

I like that dip around the 26th.

[Catnip]

Are you switching teams today?

C'MON NITO!!!

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[Bonovox]

C'MON NITO!!!

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He's busy deciding....

[Typeing3]

Comparing snow before 1953 (no snow depth data) is as impossible as comparing goalies before 1955 (no save percentage stats). Given how cold some of the winters were like in 1929 or 1916, there was probably much more snow on the ground and for much longer when compared to anything in recent memory.

2016-17 was a nice throwback to those winters we used to see on a more frequent basis throughout the 20th century.

No major arctic blasts, but the persistence of temps near/below freezing led to continuous snowcover over a lot of the lower mainland from early Dec thru mid Jan. We had another big dump of snow in early Feb so it was pretty much at least 2 months with snow on the ground.

Was even more impressive for higher elevations (Burnaby mountain, Westwood plateau, Como lake, etc) and inland locales (Coquitlam/Surrey) that held on to snowpack through the mid-late Jan warmup with snow on the ground well into March.

[Catnip]

Block is a bit stronger/amplified on the 18z vs 12.

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