January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Nice back door blast for Typeing man on the GEM.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ensembles still look good.
1.png
2.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:34 am Not bad....

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(1).jpeg
For an ensemble mean, that’s almost as good as it gets.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:35 am Nice back door blast for Typeing man on the GEM.
And a SE ridge!

:lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:35 am Ensembles still look good.

1.png
2.png
Beautiful. And look at that timing now. Moving along nicely. Not much is getting delayed.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:36 am Beautiful. And look at that timing now. Moving along nicely. Not much is getting delayed.
Yeah, it seems things start cooling down a week from today, so it is nice to get it within the 7 day window now.

Still time for things to change of course, but the ensembles seem to be holding steady.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The trough digs too far offshore, but that is a nice block on the GEM.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The 12z GEPS is still very much on board.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Nice improvement on today's 12Z GEFS vs yesterday's for Day 7

Ridge more amplified and better tilt. Colder as a result.

12Z today:
12z - 6z22.png
12z 850.png
12Z yesterday:
12z - 6z22yest.png
850 12z yest.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:52 am Nice improvement on today's 12Z GEFS vs yesterday's for Day 7

Ridge more amplified and better tilt. Colder as a result.

12Z today:
12z - 6z22.png
12z 850.png

12Z yesterday:

12z - 6z22yest.png
850 12z yest.png
Much colder air available to us.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:53 am Much colder air available to us.
Yup.

Perhaps one of the best GFS ensembles so far this season?
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(1).jpeg
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:35 am Nice back door blast for Typeing man on the GEM.
:think: :think:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:55 am Yup.

Perhaps one of the best GFS ensembles so far this season?

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(1).jpeg
Definitely. That’s great.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 9:57 am :think: :think:
giphy.gif
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12z GEPS coming in a notch further east with the block. Will probably end up as a colder run.
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