What a waste of nice, hard-to-get arctic air.wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:00 pm Very dry air spilling through the Fraser Canyon. Moisture unable to overcome it.
Looks cold. The good news is this run is very dry (no precip at all through the weekend) which gives us a much needed break from rain.
February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
850mb temps look very cold by Friday AM but looks like clouds sneak up to the lower mainland which could limit the possibility for extreme mins.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Agreed, but most of the mainland will probably get at least 2-5cm on Wednesday morning. Euro and GEM seem to have been pretty consistent in developing a surface low along the arctic front.wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:04 pm Could see impressive lows but lack of any snow cover will lead to surface temps creeping over the freezing mark in Metro Van.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
The model riding ain't over yet, still some wiggle room, need to make a goal line stand and some offensive adjustments .wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:00 pm Very dry air spilling through the Fraser Canyon. Moisture unable to overcome it.
Looks cold. The good news is this run is very dry (no precip at all through the weekend) which gives us a much needed break from rain.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Yep. Gfs looking colder more suppressed tonight. 18z JMA appeared to have some moisture with the arctic front. Wait to see if the euro continues to trend north or have things stalled in that regard.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
High to the north and that low offshore will really crank up the outflow late Wednesday into Thursday. Could see damaging winds in the valley with these kind of gradients.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Happy to see the GFS keeps things suppressed. Hopefully we get some snow with the arctic front on Wednesday and Thursday/Friday stay clear to keep those extreme mins on the table.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
00Z GFS does not break down the 500mb pattern through the long range. Keeps the cold in place.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
The GEM has regained its senses after taking leave of them for a couple runs
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
This run could drop 50- 100cm somewhere in Southern WA and Northern Oregon
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Life must be hard as the designated wet blanketwetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:39 pm This run could drop 50- 100cm somewhere in Southern WA and Northern Oregon
Sorry...
...but also not
2024-25 season stats:
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
Climo 0 to 0 GFS
Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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