September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 11:36 am GEM has a juiced up AR pointed at us a week from today. Very very wet for September if that verifies
Hinted at this potential a few days ago when the GFS had it on day 9/10. Will be interesting to see if it verifies.

For Oregon and California's sake, hopefully we can see a quick start to the rainy season. Jet normally gradually sags south through the season so the earlier it ramps up here the better.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GEM next Tuesday night into wednesday afternoon.
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_28.png
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_29.png
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Clown range alert. 12z GFS looks very chilly to end the month. Cold trough moves into BC from the gulf of alaska. Chilly NW flow with showers and highs struggling to push past 10/11C on Sep 30th. We clear up and dry out with N flow in the following days with an early season frost.
gfs_z500a_namer_57.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_58.png
gfs_T2m_nwus_65.png
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:07 pm 12z GEM next Tuesday night into wednesday afternoon.
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_28.pnggem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_29.png
Wtf!
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:07 pm 12z GEM next Tuesday night into wednesday afternoon.
Thanks for the maps Typeing :clap: :clap: Should be interesting.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:14 pm Clown range alert. 12z GFS looks very chilly to end the month. Cold trough moves into BC from the gulf of alaska. Chilly NW flow with showers and highs struggling to push past 10/11C on Sep 30th. We clear up and dry out with N flow in the following days with an early season frost.
gfs_z500a_namer_57.pnggfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_58.pnggfs_T2m_nwus_65.png
oh it's that time of year again when the clown range clowns away, I love it. Getting frosty mornings and cool nights in October is the best, Gives that Halloween feel.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bear Golden »

Weather101 wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:26 pm oh it's that time of year again when the clown range clowns away, I love it. Getting frosty mornings and cool nights in October is the best, Gives that Halloween feel.
NOOOO I NEED THE FROST TO STAY AWAY UNTIL MID OCT MY POOR POT PLANTS :(
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Well, now Weather101 is going to be your best friend! :woohoo!:
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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Five tropical storms/hurricanes currently in the Atlantic. Last time that happened was back in.....1971. Analogue??
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:27 pm Five tropical storms/hurricanes currently in the Atlantic. Last time that happened was back in.....1971. Analogue??
What was winter 1971/1972 like in this part of the world? I looked in a few places and most online daily weather records don’t seem to go that far back.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 9:47 pm What was winter 1971/1972 like in this part of the world? I looked in a few places and most online daily weather records don’t seem to go that far back.
Cool and wet fall transitioning into a chilly/snowy (and very wet at times) winter. Lots of cold onshore flow snow events and two separate arctic blasts each at the end of December and January respectively.

Climate data for a few locations from December '71...
Vancouver: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 1&Month=12#

Pitt Meadows: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... itt+polder

Abbotsford: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... Abbotsford
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:03 pm Cool and wet fall transitioning into a chilly/snowy (and very wet at times) winter. Lots of cold onshore flow snow events and two separate arctic blasts each at the end of December and January respectively.

Climate data for a few locations from December '71...
Vancouver: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 1&Month=12#

Pitt Meadows: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... itt+polder

Abbotsford: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... Abbotsford
Thanks.

Even a little snow for the last week in October. That would fun if it happened again.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:31 pm Thanks.

Even a little snow for the last week in October. That would fun if it happened again.
The Aggassiz station goes back to 1890. The Stave Falls one goes back to 1909. Fun fact is the Stave Falls station goes back to the start of the building of the Hydro electric plant there which went into service in 1912. The plant has since been turned into a museum. I stumbled upon a nearly identical power plant of the same vintage that was turned into a museum on my travels in Norway.

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

tyweather wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 10:38 pm The Aggassiz station goes back to 1890. The Stave Falls one goes back to 1909. Fun fact is the Stave Falls station goes back to the start of the building of the Hydro electric plant there which went into service in 1912. The plant has since been turned into a museum. I stumbled upon a nearly identical power plant of the same vintage that was turned into a museum on my travels in Norway.

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... pe=navLink
Something to add to my list of places to check out once the border reopens. The town where I went to college in the 1980’s had a bunch of old small to medium-size hydro plants of that same vintage, still in use. Never got to take a tour of any of them.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Bear Golden wrote: Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:49 pm NOOOO I NEED THE FROST TO STAY AWAY UNTIL MID OCT MY POOR POT PLANTS :(
You should be good tbh.... Or #TeamFrost :lol:
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