November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[wetcoast91]

All the models have shown a flip back to a dominant split flow. Gone are the signals for any pattern change. Another 10 days of dry....

No good. We are probably looking at a very late ski season this year.

[Catnip]

EPS 10 day precip... wtf

#dry

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[Storm]

EPS 10 day precip... wtf

#dry

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I only asked for dry till the end of November, now this is getting ridiculous.

[SouthSardiswx]

I only asked for dry till the end of November, now this is getting ridiculous.

This is unprecedented and sick now, I can't believe how the models are going from wet to dry or dry to wet everyday it seems I give up.

[SouthSardiswx]

Quite windy here. I was just woken up by a wind gust blowing down my gardening tools that were leaning against the side of the house.

Ah yes the old garden tools and strong winds scenario if you had patio furniture out they would have been half way to Pitt Meadows by now. lovely hearing from you Mrs. Bugs.

[stuffradio]

Well that took a turn for the worst. Where's the unlike button?

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[Storm]

Well that took a turn for the worst. Where's the unlike button?

CFSv2.NaT2m.20191127.201912.gif

[John]

In a week it can all look different again

[PortKells]

At least the 12z breaks down that ridge at h174? Baby steps? #sigh

[SouthSardiswx]

At least the 12z breaks down that ridge at h174? Baby steps? #sigh

Yeah the 12Z GFS is quite a bit different again, back to wet.

[Hawk]

Models will change again. Think positive. Cant stay dry forever..after all this is Wetcoast right Nito?

[SouthSardiswx]

4.1c still getting Anusol gusts to around 40kmh. is that an El Nito AR trying to develop @ hr 276?

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Per chaos theory, the fact that an overrunning snow event is a recurring pattern that keeps showing up in some model runs is significant. It indicates that this is one of the more favored future states the atmosphere might experience. (Just one of the more favored states, and not the most favored one, mind you.)

So, while it may not be the most likely outcome, it's definitely a possible one that should be kept in mind.

[SouthSardiswx]

Per chaos theory, the fact that an overrunning snow event is a recurring pattern that keeps showing up in some model runs is significant. It indicates that this is one of the more favored future states the atmosphere might experience. (Just one of the more favored states, and not the most favored one, mind you.)

So, while it may not be the most likely outcome, it's definitely a possible one that should be kept in mind.

No sarcasm intended Mr. Rubuscube but did you get your meteorological training from Richard Mann?

[Abby_wx]

Wind picked up overnight, max gust 45 km/h. Temp still pretty much flat at 4.6C.