December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

And now we wait for the 18z GFS.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:13 pm:shock:
I will not complain if this verifies :stacked:
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:46 pm And now we wait for the 18z GFS.
Concerned it's gonna be too far north. Not gonna lie these type of systems are the most stressful to track because such a small track change means huge differences.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 12:18 pm Ok if it snows in Abbotsford Monday Mr. Sardines had to give me back my privileges. :lol:
Good luck Jr, I know how much you miss having those privileges :lol: :lol:

....getting snow would be a privilege, even just a few white flakes floating down.

No SWS for the Sunshine Coast, just rain forecast and a high of 4, with a low of 4 tonight. :(
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:03 pm Concerned it's gonna be too far north. Not gonna lie these type of systems are the most stressful to track because such a small track change means huge differences.
Doubtful this thing goes too far north at this point. Regardless surface temps are going be an issue for almost everybody near sea level. Victoria is basically surrounded by water so any sea breeze could keep things +1 to +2 with little accumulation. Heavy precip, light winds, or a north wind coming down off the highlands area is probably your keys to watch for.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Image
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:28 pm Image
:thumbup:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NoahG »

Monty wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:22 pm Doubtful this thing goes too far north at this point. Regardless surface temps are going be an issue for almost everybody near sea level. Victoria is basically surrounded by water so any sea breeze could keep things +1 to +2 with little accumulation. Heavy precip, light winds, or a north wind coming down off the highlands area is probably your keys to watch for.
Yeah for sure. How similar is this set up to the December 2017 one? Is there more cold air to work with?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:33 pm:thumbup:
#teamcoldrain

Guaranteed winner 99% of the time!
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hughc0rne »

:shock:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

NoahG wrote: Sun Dec 20, 2020 1:35 pm Yeah for sure. How similar is this set up to the December 2017 one? Is there more cold air to work with?
Very similar. I think this is tracking a little more south. Which is a bit of a window of opportunity for Victoria lowland
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Slight jog north on the 18z GFS.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Euro leading the way with track as we expect with this range, surface details are still unclear
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I’m not totally keeping up with you guys as I’m working but I see the icon also came north on the 18z
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

The north trend has to stop now lol.
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