June 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Looks like this cold/wet pattern won't be going away anytime soon.

Screenshot 2024-06-15 165250.png

[PortKells]

Getting this totally normal stretch of cool weather, historically speaking, is a breath of fresh air in this scorching new climate we've created. Soak it in while you can, extreme heat is coming at some point. We haven't had a below normal summer since 2011 I believe, maybe 2012 and I would bet a hefty amount of money that streak will continue.

It'll be nice to go into July/Aug/Sep without having fried yet.

[NorthBurnabyWeather]

Reports of a funnel cloud in the Eastern Valley. I did notice some cells in Washington state showing a tornadic vortex signature.

https://x.com/RandySmall/status/1802104 ... 33709?s=19

Which storm had the rotating mesocyclone? I can't tell. The convection is so messy and disorganized that it's tough to pick out supercells.

Got any screenshots of the TVSes south of the border?

[SouthSardiswx]

Which storm had the rotating mesocyclone? I can't tell. The convection is so messy and disorganized that it's tough to pick out supercells.

Got any screenshots of the TVSes south of the border?

The signature near Yarrow NBI.
Funnel clouds have been observed this afternoon in the Fraser Valley near Yarrow and conditions are such that they may reform over the next several hours.

[AbbyJr]

Looks like this cold/wet pattern won't be going away anytime soon.

Screenshot 2024-06-15 165250.png

Wait, so late June 2021 won't repeat itself this year?

[Typeing3]

Getting this totally normal stretch of cool weather, historically speaking, is a breath of fresh air in this scorching new climate we've created. Soak it in while you can, extreme heat is coming at some point. We haven't had a below normal summer since 2011 I believe, maybe 2012 and I would bet a hefty amount of money that streak will continue.

It'll be nice to go into July/Aug/Sep without having fried yet.

2016? 2019? 2020?

[SouthSardiswx]

We received 25mm in the pond since midnight John in south Sardis and we reached a chilly high of 15c.

[SouthSardiswx]

Video of tornadic activity in Yarrow today.


https://www.pinterest.com/pin/800092690038691732/

[wetcoast91]

Which storm had the rotating mesocyclone? I can't tell. The convection is so messy and disorganized that it's tough to pick out supercells.

Got any screenshots of the TVSes south of the border?

Didn't get screenshots but there was one impressive cell just west of Redmond, WA. You could even see the hook echo on radar.

https://x.com/The_Weatherman2/status/18 ... 13827?s=19

[Hawk]

OK connector dusted with snow

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

OK connector dusted with snow

251.jpg

[moonshadow0825]

tornados, hail, flooding gotta love the lower mainland weather

meanwhile in South Delta it was 18C and sunny with some pretty spectacular clouds most of the day, we even got a nice rainbow at 9 last night

20240615_204524.jpg

[PortKells]

2016? 2019? 2020?

I believe those years ended up above average. 2016 for example was cool until a hot august. 2020 as well.

[Canada Goose]

We haven't had a below normal summer since 2011 I believe, maybe 2012

For YVR, the last summers (JJA) below 1991-2020 average (17.4°C) were 2020, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2008, 2007, 2002 [normal], 2001, 2000 and 1999.
If we compare to 1937-2024 average (16.9°C), the last summer below normal was 2011 (16.87°C). Then 2008, 2001, 2000 and 1999.

In the 50's, 60's or 70's, 2011 would have been a warm summer. Even the 1999-2000-2001 cool summers would have been quite warm...

Capture d’écran 2024-06-16 à 14.38.22.jpg

[Typeing3]

For YVR, the last summers (JJA) below 1991-2020 average (17.4°C) were 2020, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2008, 2007, 2002 [normal], 2001, 2000 and 1999.
If we compare to 1937-2024 average (16.9°C), the last summer below normal was 2011 (16.87°C). Then 2008, 2001, 2000 and 1999.

In the 50's, 60's or 70's, 2011 would have been a warm summer. Even the 1999-2000-2001 cool summers would have been quite warm...


Capture d’écran 2024-06-16 à 14.38.22.jpg

Would be interesting to see the Tmax average at YVR over the same period. I'd imagine the average is mostly skewed upward due to the increase in the Tmin? IIRC the Tmax hasn't increased to the same extent as the Tmin due to the urban heat island effect being more prominent at night.