September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bear Golden wrote: Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:26 am I dont understand, this smoke model shows it going away today, coming back but not really the next day.

Why does EC have it in their forecast that we have widespread smoke the next 3-4 days at least??

https://firesmoke.ca/forecasts/current/
Just my guess but...... models don’t really do a great job with inversions and the lowest levels of the atmosphere, especially when things are so stagnant. They are probably thinking it’s going to take a more substantial flush of clean air to really break things up. Maybe the weekend :think: :thumbdown:
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bear Golden wrote: Tue Sep 15, 2020 8:26 am I dont understand, this smoke model shows it going away today, coming back but not really the next day.

Why does EC have it in their forecast that we have widespread smoke the next 3-4 days at least??

https://firesmoke.ca/forecasts/current/
I noticed they are not at all accurate, I started watching it 2 days ago and it showed clear skies on both days...nope. Now I don't bother going there at all.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Smoke is thinning at the surface. Sun is out and can see blue sky overhead finally. Visibility is still relatively poor though.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Looks pretty wet in the long range.

Image
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Sep 15, 2020 2:18 pm Smoke is thinning at the surface. Sun is out and can see blue sky overhead finally. Visibility is still relatively poor though.
we spotted blue sky as well but sure didn't last long :wtf:


noticed this morning that multiple news channels were reporting on the smoke reaching NY city and out to Europe.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

John wrote: Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:47 pm I will quit posting didn’t mean to upset people. Sorry good bye
I honestly think all they are trying to say is that some of your posts come off as if your purposely trying to get a reaction out of people off posts that are not weather related. Then you act surprised and shocked when you get the reaction you were looking for.

Let's just keep things calm since no one said you had to stop posting lol If me and Hawk still choose to post after our many famous bird fights I'm sure you can handle it.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Not that we want any, but any thundershowers coming?
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

tyweather wrote: Tue Sep 15, 2020 7:25 pm Not that we want any, but any thundershowers coming?
Maybe later Thursday but best dynamics look to be to our south in the modelling that I’ve seen
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Another showery evening out there. Models seem to be converging on our first jet extension of the season later next week. Probably won’t be much but it’s a sign of fall.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

People with interests in Atlantic Canada should keep their eye on Teddy. Some fairly impactful Hurricane possibilities in the modelling with that.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Tue Sep 15, 2020 9:20 pm People with interests in Atlantic Canada should keep their eye on Teddy. Some fairly impactful Hurricane possibilities in the modelling with that.
That would suck...
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Thick, yellowish-brown fog this morning. Can barely see across the street.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Looks like a wet second half of September. The CPC is showing higher probs for above median precip for both the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks. Let's just hope that rain goes south where they really need it.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Clown range shows YXX dropping to 3C on October 1.
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Re: September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

GEM has a juiced up AR pointed at us a week from today. Very very wet for September if that verifies
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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