November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 10:38 am So the Euro sides with the GEM on this one, shearing the system apart well offshore. Surprise surprise :roll: :roll:
Siding with the Euro and GEM on this one. Those weak lows get shredded by the snow eating easterly winds.

GOA low looking to set up though. That is good news. Pattern reset time!
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 10:59 am Siding with the Euro and GEM on this one. Those weak lows get shredded by the snow eating easterly winds.

GOA low looking to set up though. That is good news. Pattern reset time!
Does a a GOA trough mean a better possibility of active/mountain snow conditions?
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Snowed_in wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:06 am Does a a GOA trough mean a better possibility of active/mountain snow conditions?
Yes
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus »

Wet flurries off and on this morning...a trace on the ground.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Well at least the 12Z Euro is slightly wetter than previous runs. A comparison of the last 2 runs.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:15 am Well at least the 12Z Euro is slightly wetter than previous runs. A comparison of the last 2 runs.
And the mountains get snow!
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Man. Black creek is just getting crushed right now. That is an awesome snow belt
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:23 am Man. Black creek is just getting crushed right now. That is an awesome snow belt
Yeah. The highway cams are impressive.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Some areas have seen the SWS upgraded to wind warnings. Victoria, gulf Islands, Howe sound
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:23 am Man. Black creek is just getting crushed right now. That is an awesome snow belt
Exciting that it's snowing somewhere. Weird to think that not very far away I have high cloud, a bit of blue sky and no precip
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:34 am Some areas have seen the SWS upgraded to wind warnings. Victoria, gulf Islands, Howe sound
Fraser Valley is close. Winds forecast 60 gusting to 80 km/h. So wind warnings could be coming here as well if they end up a bit stronger.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 10:59 am Siding with the Euro and GEM on this one. Those weak lows get shredded by the snow eating easterly winds.

GOA low looking to set up though. That is good news. Pattern reset time!
Do you still think the pattern leading up to and around Christmas could be cold and snowy for us?
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 10:13 am Looks like a good widespread 10-20cm. I'd take that in a heartbeat.
At this point any solution is on the table. Models will not be able to resolve this until much closer to the event.
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I'll assume for now that overrunning event is unlikely but possible. No reason to get Hope's up atm. But the ensembles are suggesting that GOA trough and cool/active which is what I want to see personally as a skier :thumbup:
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Re: November 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:43 am Do you still think the pattern leading up to and around Christmas could be cold and snowy for us?
The pattern reset is the first step. When it flips again is really anyone's guess but I think the late Dec period does have potential.
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