November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

BAM weather did their winter outlook today.

Here is the video.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qu-FdT1wIJE

Basically going for cool West, warm East. Drier for us as well.

Buckle up!
Screenshot 2024-11-13 at 14-24-23 Official Winter 2024-25 Outlook Webinar - YouTube.png
Screenshot 2024-11-13 at 14-25-42 Official Winter 2024-25 Outlook Webinar - YouTube.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 2:25 pm BAM weather did their winter outlook today.

Here is the video.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qu-FdT1wIJE

Basically going for cool West, warm East. Drier for us as well.

Buckle up!

Screenshot 2024-11-13 at 14-24-23 Official Winter 2024-25 Outlook Webinar - YouTube.png

Screenshot 2024-11-13 at 14-25-42 Official Winter 2024-25 Outlook Webinar - YouTube.png
Kind of has that split flow signal with lesser than normal precip here.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 3:50 pm Kind of has that split flow signal with lesser than normal precip here.
Dry, mild tumble weeds by mid December E l Neeto. :shifty:
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 3:50 pm Kind of has that split flow signal with lesser than normal precip here.
Hopefully we can get an old school arctic outbreak. :clap: :silent: :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 10:49 am AI Euro looked somewhat interesting this morning for the end of the month.

IMG_2490.png
Coldest air goes east. On to the next run! :clap: :lol: :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 12, 2024 10:17 pm 00z GEM
Day 7-10
#Problematic
:raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh162-240.gif
just like many of the snowfalls maps we have seen before promising a pumbling..it will prolly get watered down by the time it arrives..only 7 days away!! :lol: :lol:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 3:50 pm Kind of has that split flow signal with lesser than normal precip here.
:think: :think:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 2:25 pm BAM weather did their winter outlook today.

Here is the video.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qu-FdT1wIJE

Basically going for cool West, warm East. Drier for us as well.

Buckle up!

Screenshot 2024-11-13 at 14-24-23 Official Winter 2024-25 Outlook Webinar - YouTube.png

Screenshot 2024-11-13 at 14-25-42 Official Winter 2024-25 Outlook Webinar - YouTube.png
This has the retro PG High written all over it..suppressed jet..cold and dry up here. Lock it in from Dec to Feb. Any snow that falls will likely evaporate rather than melt right away. Tell em Nitoooooooo!! :lol: :lol:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 9:23 am That's just incredibly insane Ms. Tornadoalleycreeks. :wtf: your the new miidwest of B.C. tornado alley. :D :wave:
I like to think of it as we've had our turn, now someone else can have some fun.

Another night of power outages, they were mostly down in Gibsons, schools, library and stores closed. :o Quiet in the Creek though. :D
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 3:50 pm Kind of has that split flow signal with lesser than normal precip here.
Could also be a suppressed jet signal (January especially) being cold and dry further north up the west coast and wetter further south. Whoever ends up being in that battleground area would hit the jackpot as those types of extreme patterns are what delivered months like Dec 1964, 1996, 2008, or 2016.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

:? :eh:


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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 6:10 pm Could also be a suppressed jet signal (January especially) being cold and dry further north up the west coast and wetter further south. Whoever ends up being in that battleground area would hit the jackpot as those types of extreme patterns are what delivered months like Dec 1964, 1996, 2008, or 2016.
Yup. While it's far from a lock and there are of course no guarantees, there is definitely potential for a big winter here. :silent: :wave:
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monday snowflakes?
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow_24-1520800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1974400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Nov 13, 2024 9:49 pm Monday snowflakes?

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-indiv_snow_24-1520800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-1974400.png
EC says, yes!
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2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: November 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu Nov 14, 2024 8:21 am EC says, yes!
Snow possible on the 12z GFS Tuesday night.
prateptype_cat-imp.us_nw.png
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