September 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[Michael1]

Reported for being an off topic d-bag. I encourage other posters who feel the same to do the same. I'm not a teacher but I am an SSA. I work under a teacher who is the hardest working person, most respectable human I've had the pleasure of working for. What do you do in comparison? You troll a weather forum with utterly useless political trash that literally nobody needs right now. You must be so proud of your life's accomplishments

All the teachers at my son's school reported to school every day during the shutdown and conducted classes on line, touched base with every student to make sure they were ok and gave extra help to those students who need help. Today, after the much touted start up plan from the local school board, it was all for show. The situation was chaos and therefore, dangerous. I hope the BCTF keeps pushing back. My son and his teachers are not here to provide political entertainment for deniers.

[John]

I will quit posting didn’t mean to upset people. Sorry good bye

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

I will quit posting didn’t mean to upset people. Sorry good bye

You don’t have to quit posting, just keep it on-topic.

[Typeing3]

On and off drizzle hasn't done anything to improve air quality. Still socked in with smoke.

[Antares]

I will quit posting didn’t mean to upset people. Sorry good bye

Can't help but laugh at this post.

Don't be so dramatic.

[PortKells]

I will quit posting didn’t mean to upset people. Sorry good bye

I believe you did. But its ok...if you can just stick to on topic weather stuff here. We can debate other stuff over in the political forum. I wouldnt mind hashing out the issues in the right place with good intentions.

As to the weather, this is pure vomit. This smoke will be here for a while it appears. 4 out of the last 6 years with this crap.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS showing a possible AR event on day 9/10. Tis the season!

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_36.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_40.png

[Typeing3]

00z then shows active W flow thereafter, followed by chilly NW flow to close out the month.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_52.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_59.png

Given we're already in a Nina we should expect a wetter than normal fall. Hopefully the storm track sags to the south pretty quickly later this month to help douse the massive fires in Oregon and N California.

[Monty]

Air quality got much worse with the rain that fell this afternoon. A little more than 2mm here

1E74BB09-778C-4FC3-9773-2A8BEF36C709.png

[Monty]

Eyes turn to Thursday night, if we can see thru the smog, for potential convection and a burst of heavy rainfall. Unusually high CAPE values and SE flow as that trough takes a bit of a negative tilt in some modeling.

[Typeing3]

Air quality got much worse with the rain that fell this afternoon. A little more than 2mm here

1E74BB09-778C-4FC3-9773-2A8BEF36C709.png

0.3mm of murky drizzle here today.

[Monty]

Euro shows like 20-30mm of rain in the LM late Friday and Saturday

[PortKells]

Euro shows like 20-30mm of rain in the LM late Friday and Saturday

Anything down south? Almost would rather it hit those Cascades at the moment.

[Monty]

Anything down south? Almost would rather it hit those Cascades at the moment.

Similar amounts over the Oregon cascades. Not much in California

[Bear Golden]

I dont understand, this smoke model shows it going away today, coming back but not really the next day.

Why does EC have it in their forecast that we have widespread smoke the next 3-4 days at least??

https://firesmoke.ca/forecasts/current/