September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Sep 09, 2022 12:05 am Sounds like a heat warning for Sechelt! :cheerlead: :cheerlead: EC only had a high of 26 on Saturday, I wonder how long it'll take for them to change it. :shrug:
Hmm looks suspicious Ms. Heatwarningcapitalofbccreeks, they might just spring it on you tomorrow. However you may have used up your allowable warnings for the summer season. Currently 14c @ the pond in south Sardis, winds @ Agassiz have picked up abit NE 16kmh and 18c we'll see if it's 25c by morning. :wtf: :o
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Sep 09, 2022 12:27 am Hmm looks suspicious Ms. Heatwarningcapitalofbccreeks, they might just spring it on you tomorrow. However you may have used up your allowable warnings for the summer season. Currently 14c @ the pond in south Sardis, winds @ Agassiz have picked up abit NE 16kmh and 18c we'll see if it's 25c by morning. :wtf: :o
Toasty warm out there! It's a chilly 11.8 in Sechelt.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20220909094310-d44831b13749c9747bed64af6ac749df17f42a8c.png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Sep 09, 2022 2:44 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
Geesh, Tbones looks like l'll have to put away the shorts for another season after Saturday.
Still waiting for the arse based horrendous outflow but nothing yet in the central valley. :thumbdown:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

We appear to have a NE breeze in the central valley now and it's 16c @ the pond in south Sardis under clear skies.
Not sure where the local smoke is l'm thinking they mean Richmond perhaps :w101: time will tell. I'm testing out my new Sardine wind sock. :D
tenor.gif
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Every time I think we’re finally done with the 30’s for the year, they come back. It’s like a scene out of a zombie horror flick.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:38 am Every time I think we’re finally done with the 30’s for the year, they come back. It’s like a scene out of a zombie horror flick.
Good analogy Rubes but l think this time the 30c monster dies once and for all. :clap:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus2 »

Interesting transition from calm and cool to warm, dry and breezy at YXX when the outflow kicked in overnight!
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Fri Sep 09, 2022 7:38 am Every time I think we’re finally done with the 30’s for the year, they come back. It’s like a scene out of a zombie horror flick.
No zombies here , just sunshine and lollipops . Even touching 30° has been a rarity in the scalene triangle of YVR-TWASSEN-WR. So I'm definitely not fearing the 30 degree reaper or boogie man.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Perhaps a change up come mid-late October?

:lol:
1.png
Latest weeklies show pretty much above average 850's up until this period.
2.png
#subject-to-change
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

HRRR smoke forecast for later today.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

I can already smell the smoke. :thumbdown:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hound wrote: Fri Sep 09, 2022 11:07 am I can already smell the smoke. :thumbdown:
A new fire just flared up in Hope overnight too.

:thumbdown:

https://twitter.com/BCGovFireInfo/statu ... wWh6mtqwUg

https://twitter.com/Kamscan/status/1568 ... SiA3aCfDHA
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Looking over some of the seasonal forecasts... most are showing temperatures to be average to a bit below average from Nov-March.

:dunno:
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