April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Enjoy the relatively mild weekend. No sign of much appreciable warmth in the models at this point.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2019 11:00 am Enjoy the relatively mild weekend. No sign of much appreciable warmth in the models at this point.
After such a wet April, I'd almost expect a warm/dry May or June.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

That's one cold trough modeled on the 18z for next weekend. Freeze next Sunday?
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2019 4:50 pm After such a wet April, I'd almost expect a warm/dry May or June.
Gut feeling at this point.

Seasonal May, maybe a little dry

Warm and dry June.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I'm at 181mm this month so far!
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Monty wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2019 7:24 pm Gut feeling at this point.

Seasonal May, maybe a little dry

Warm and dry June.
A warm and dry June would surprise me (positively) at this point. Not that I don't think we deserve it but there is a reason we've coined the name "Juneuary" in these parts :roll:
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

moonshadow0825 wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:59 am A warm and dry June would surprise me (positively) at this point. Not that I don't think we deserve it but there is a reason we've coined the name "Juneuary" in these parts :roll:
Having lots of rain in June contributes to less fires. Have we already forgotten two straight miserable summers? I'm always amazed how so many people think we are owed hot weather when that's all we've had for 7 straight summers. It's not like this winter/spring were particularly wet either.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Good point Stuck at home Person....but a wet June, usually on the coast.. doesnt necessarily translate to less forest fires as most of them are in the Interior which is usually bone dry after the snow melts and moisture exits the ground.. :think: :think:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Hawk wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2019 7:48 pm Good point Stuck at home Person....but a wet June, usually on the coast.. doesnt necessarily translate to less forest fires as most of them are in the Interior which is usually bone dry after the snow melts and moisture exits the ground.. :think: :think:
Good point Beak Man... still ice on your lakes? Maybe another week or two.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I heard the ice is off at our Cabin at Watch lake in the Cariboo. Couple of weeks earlier than last year if I remember correctly.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Watch lake is at 3,500 ft , hawk's lakes are over 4,000 ft , my guess is they're still frozen.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2019 8:47 pm Good point Beak Man... still ice on your lakes? Maybe another week or two.
Actually ice finally melted a week ago.i was there it went from ice covered all around sep the edges to all water in 5 days. Of course ice covered visually only.. I'm sure ice was pretty thin in most areas buttee
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2019 10:25 pm Watch lake is at 3,500 ft , hawk's lakes are over 4,000 ft , my guess is they're still frozen.
Hawks lake (Osprey maybe?? 😒😒 haha)..but not..is approx 3000 feet
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The lake is in a tight valley with relatively high mountains on either side so it's a slow melt in the spring. By March there may only be about 5 or 6 hours of sunlight a day that hits the lake.
Let the fishing begin. Yesssssss
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Bleh... enough rain! There's really no need for additional rain right now. The ground is saturated, so the excess just runs off. I understand needing rain during fire season, but getting buckets of rain right now won't help us later. It's all in the timing.
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