October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Michael1
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Michael1 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 1:34 pm Check out how the SST's this year compare to the past 5 years at this time. This year is significantly colder. :clap: :thumbup:

sstcompare2020.png

sstcompare2019.png

sstcompare2018.png

sstcompare2017.png

sstcompare2016.png
It looks like the PDO is trying its best to transition into a cold phase- I wonder how much effect increasing solar activity has?
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 12:43 pm I was in Costco yesterday and saw all their Christmas stuff out already. Soon it's going to be the 12 months of Christmas.
Christmas stuff before late November is bad enough, before Halloween is just wrong on a fundamental level. I support the death penalty for such transgressions.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Abby_wx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Abby_wx »

No Christmas stuff until after Nov 11th is the rule I like to go by.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

Image

Image

Image
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

Hound wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 2:35 pm [

Image
If the clouds don't move in, I think first frost on Tuesday morning is a lock. Freeze looks unlikely though.
gfs_T2m_nwus_12.png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

Today I worked a little bit on the new server config. I got the vhost setup for where the forum will be and I almost have the vhost setup for the main site too which won’t take long.

If you modify your hosts file on your computer to point to the new ip with this subdomain you can test it already, but there’s only a simple HTML file there for now instead of the forum.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 4:18 pm Today I worked a little bit on the new server config. I got the vhost setup for where the forum will be and I almost have the vhost setup for the main site too which won’t take long.

If you modify your hosts file on your computer to point to the new ip with this subdomain you can test it already, but there’s only a simple HTML file there for now instead of the forum.
Thanks so much Stuffy for all the hard work you put into developing and maintaining this forum. :D :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Oct 09, 2021 1:34 pm Check out how the SST's this year compare to the past 5 years at this time. This year is significantly colder. :clap: :thumbup:

sstcompare2020.png

sstcompare2019.png

sstcompare2018.png

sstcompare2017.png

sstcompare2016.png
Yes those SSTs are a eeeeuge factor imo. It looks good this year..hence the cold troffy weather. Right Nito? Yesssss. Hopefully this pattern lock will continue for two months like it often does and we're all aware of. That should bring us snow in late November and early December. I will take that. :clap: :clap:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Happy Thanksgiving!
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Torrential downpour right now. Wow! :shock:

Short lived, it's already over.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Welp another epic fail for EC. Calling for 10-15cms in Southern BC passses, and Zopkios looks like nada up until the 1600m - 1800m mark. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Based on the weather we got here yesterday, i thought for sure the Coq would be snowy. I guess the cold troffy air is keeping it loco, which is good for December i hope :thumbup:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sun Oct 10, 2021 7:34 am Welp another epic fail for EC. Calling for 10-15cms in Southern BC passses, and Zopkios looks like nada up until the 1600m - 1800m mark. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Based on the weather we got here yesterday, i thought for sure the Coq would be snowy. I guess the cold troffy air is keeping it loco, which is good for December i hope :thumbup:
👀

13cm at Helmer Lake and absolutely dumping.
323CFD42-19B4-465B-B2E0-B1A387FE8C5B.jpeg
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Sun Oct 10, 2021 7:34 am Welp another epic fail for EC. Calling for 10-15cms in Southern BC passses, and Zopkios looks like nada up until the 1600m - 1800m mark. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Based on the weather we got here yesterday, i thought for sure the Coq would be snowy. I guess the cold troffy air is keeping it loco, which is good for December i hope :thumbup:
I was up at manning park...a little disappointed the freezing levels didn't drop in time, we got a dusting this morning after it poured rain during the night.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Antares »

The forecast snow for here tomorrow morning all but disappeared. Can't say I'm surprised but I am pretty disappointed. Especially with areas to the SE in the score zone.

Had an insane storm roll through here today with some insane gusts that moved my grill a few feet. :silent:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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