December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Looks good for Monty.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:34 pm After further extrapolation, it seems that way.
Certainly seems that way. Looks like a good setup for Parksville - Campbell River.

The traditional development a low pressure with a katafront hinders LM snow potential with this one. Too much warm air gets injected ahead of the initial precip wave.

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Last edited by wetcoast91 on Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Hey guys, according to google maps traffic, Cypress Bowl Rd is closed till midnight. Anyone know anything?

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It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:41 pm Certainly seems that way. Looks like a good setup for Parksville - Campbell River.

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Yeah gonna be hard to get accumulating snow in Victoria with that one.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Gets close for sure.

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:46 pm Gets close for sure.

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I feel like the precipitation rates aren't heavy enough.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hound wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 5:59 pm Funny how we all call Wetcoast 'Nito' still. He leaves a lasting first impression, kinda like a wet fart! :lol:

Remember back in Sept when it was snowing in Banff and on the Coquihalla and it looked like we were getting an early winter, then the typical anus released its gas... there is nothing more depressing than our winters. Leighbugs hasn't even been on the forum it's so bad!
I was up at the Coq during that cold spell. -13 at night. Don’t think they have come close since. I too thought it was the start of a decent winter. Still early though... anything can happen.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:47 pm I feel like the precipitation rates aren't heavy enough.
At least we have a chance with that track.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:47 pm I feel like the precipitation rates aren't heavy enough.
Heavier precip = stronger system = further North?

:dunno:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Starting to get a bit breezy out.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:47 pm I feel like the precipitation rates aren't heavy enough.
Precip rates aren't too off. The digging of that trough brings rise to stronge frontogenesis - surging katafront which props too much warm air up to 5km ahead of the front. Surface winds and adiabatic cooling would support snow down to sea level if we had a cooler source of air aloft or in the interior.

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Windiest part of the day right now but I guess the wind warning was another bust.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:52 pm Starting to get a bit breezy out.
Getting some fairly heavy rain too.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:53 pm Windiest part of the day right now but I guess the wind warning was another bust.
THINK FALLEN TREES, POWER OUTAGES, BRIDGE COLLAPSES AND DEATHS!!! CMON!!!!!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 6:53 pm Precip rates aren't too off. The digging of that trough brings rise to stronge frontogenesis - surging katafront which props too much warm air up to 5km ahead of the front. Surface winds and adiabatic cooling would support snow down to sea level if we had a cooler source of air aloft or in the interior.

[]
If the low hugged the coast a bit more we'd be in a better spot too.
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