January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Stuffy, can you do a video tutorial on how to read the MJO forecast charts such as this one? I find them a bit confusing.
diagram_40days_forecast_GEFS_member.gif
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:50 pm From Global:

B89B9057-92A0-4ABA-B3B7-F2ADABDBC878.png
14 cm!!!! Wow, that would be a surprise!
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arbetrader
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:57 pm I wonder if it could be January 2012 you're thinking of... I reached -13.1C that month. I also reached the same temperature in December 2008. I've never dropped below -13.1C in the 15 years I've lived here. The airport may have gotten a bit colder due to better radiative cooling in that area.
Gotcha, ok yes must have been January 2012, looking at the records it seems the airport was flirting with -15 in the wee hours between Jan 17/18th 2012. Would love to see that again sometime.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Michael1 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:13 pm a strong N.W wind just kicked up out of nowhere with darkening clouds. Weird
Yes, they sprung up here too. Surprised me as last I remembered we weren't expecting any until Friday.

Special Weather Statement up for the Sunshine Coast now but for possible snow tomorrow morning, nothing about winds tonight. :dunno: :hmm:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Kinda consistent today.
CD54D22B-814F-43FE-BB35-0325EA6321CB.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 8:40 pm Kinda consistent today.

CD54D22B-814F-43FE-BB35-0325EA6321CB.png
Jan. 6 is the time to keep an eye on.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Lots of snow end of the run :thumbup: Jan 11/12 not so much, :thumbdown:

Not 2 feet of snow this run, but I’ll take 1 foot :D
Last edited by Lisa0527 on Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 8:59 pm Jan. 6 is the time to keep an eye on.
BA6E49D4-F6F3-46D9-864D-55E55E3D95F6.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 8:59 pm Jan. 6 is the time to keep an eye on.
The EPS has to get on board before I get really excited. Though last run didn't look bad but had the timing in the longer range.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

It’s getting pretty breezy out there.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Snowed_in wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 7:07 pm Must be that heat island affect :roll:
Graphs with lines mean not much. I can take that same chart and put a polynomial line on it which shows different trends.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

00Z GFS.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Radar wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:15 pm Graphs with lines mean not much. I can take that same chart and put a polynomial line on it which shows different trends.
Nice! Maybe a sharpie too to point up instead of down?

I mean honestly. Its not the heat island affect, these graphs are not meaningless. how many hundreds of posts on here have repeatedly carried the message that winter has become a joke compared to those of decades ago? We shouldnt turn around and claim the stats that back those facts up are suddenly not valid due to this and that excuse.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:37 pm00Z GFS.
Do you have the map to hr 384?
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 9:45 pm Do you have the map to hr 384?
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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