July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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tyweather
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Forrest Gump wrote: Thu Jul 07, 2022 9:38 pm Anyone live near the Fraser river in the valley? How's the mosquito situation?
My wife was at Fort Langley today and said the mosquitoes were brutal, right in town. People swatting and running for cover at restaurant patios,lol.
Must be the high river levels, mosquito eggs that were layed at the higher parts of the river banks finally got their water to hatch. Apparently the eggs can stay alive for several years waiting for the water to reach them.

High of 20.8° today..decent I guess.
Happens every year when it floods or gets really high. I remember 1999 golfing at Redwoods and even there the mosquitos were bad and that is 2km from the river.

Picture of the fires burning in NWT. Hot weather, which has become more frequent with climate change, increases the likelihood of wildfires in the arctic. This is not only because it dries out fuels, but also because it increases the chances of thunderstorms and associated lightning, which is the main source of ignition in remote areas. (Image: NASA)
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Well, it seems like we're slipping into our typical dry summer pattern. Lots of brown grass starting to show up around town.

Since June 22nd there has only been 3.5 mm at YXX and 7.8 mm at my place.

Vancouver has been much wetter than the valley this month with 26.1 mm since June 22nd.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Abby_wx wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:39 pm Well, it seems like we're slipping into our typical dry summer pattern. Lots of brown grass starting to show up around town.

Since June 22nd there has only been 3.5 mm at YXX and 7.8 mm at my place.

Vancouver has been much wetter than the valley this month with 26.1 mm since June 22nd.
I've had over 50 mm so far this month, including 20 yesterday.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Abby_wx wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:39 pm Well, it seems like we're slipping into our typical dry summer pattern. Lots of brown grass starting to show up around town.

Since June 22nd there has only been 3.5 mm at YXX and 7.8 mm at my place.

Vancouver has been much wetter than the valley this month with 26.1 mm since June 22nd.
Not yet in Coquitlam. 32.3mm in the past week.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (24).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (25).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (26).png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 16 days total precip per 12z GFS ensembles (GEFS)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (1).png
Next 15 days total precip per 12z ECMWF ensembles (EPS)
eps_apcpn_wus_60 (1).png
Next 16 days total precip per 12z GEM ensembles (GEPS)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (1).png
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

tyweather wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:08 pm Happens every year when it floods or gets really high. I remember 1999 golfing at Redwoods and even there the mosquitos were bad and that is 2km from the river.

Picture of the fires burning in NWT. Hot weather, which has become more frequent with climate change, increases the likelihood of wildfires in the arctic. This is not only because it dries out fuels, but also because it increases the chances of thunderstorms and associated lightning, which is the main source of ignition in remote areas. (Image: NASA)
Well,according to Fraser river mosquitoe experts the eggs can survive several years if deposited at very high levels where water levels don't reach every year. So in theory I'm guessing the year when the river gets very high and reaches those eggs there will eggs hatching from every level ,therefore that's the year you will get a ton of mosquitoes.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Small earthquake. I was outside and didn't feel it but the neighbours did and posted on our local facebook page. I looked it up and sure enough there's a blip on the seismograph.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Interesting discussion regarding the tornado that briefly touched down on the west side of Vancouver in November 2021.

https://twitter.com/BCGlitchChaser/stat ... 9132626945
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 5:18 pm Small earthquake. I was outside and didn't feel it but the neighbours did and posted on our local facebook page. I looked it up and sure enough there's a blip on the seismograph.
Did you get a tsunami in your puddle you have. :wtf: Ms. Rockbutdontrollmecreeks. It's 24c @ the pond in south Sardis with a mix of cloud and sun.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 4:09 pm Well,according to Fraser river mosquitoe experts the eggs can survive several years if deposited at very high levels where water levels don't reach every year. So in theory I'm guessing the year when the river gets very high and reaches those eggs there will eggs hatching from every level ,therefore that's the year you will get a ton of mosquitoes.
Incidentally my 2 granddaughters have somewhere between 20-40 bites each from fort langley , fortunately they don't seem to be itchy.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Jul 08, 2022 6:58 am What a gong show night at work cell service crashed at 2a.m. internet crashed.
Had to use cash at Tim's this morning to buy my breakfast cause interact was down. What is this 80's where's Weird Al Yankovic or Boy George. :crazy: :wtf: It's currently 15c @ the pond in south Sardis and cloudy.
At least Shaw internet is working at home otherwise l wouldn't be writing this.
My Rogers has been out all day and it's still out. Thankfully, our home internet is Telus so it's only my cell services that have been affected.
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Re: July 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
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