February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:08 pm

IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ve never followed the icon ensembles but we are getting desperate so..........

C6AE5419-23F2-4F2A-8B96-9F3B4366C9DA.png

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:11 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 8:45 pm Pattern over the Pacific turns really messy on the GFS. CanÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t see that verifying.

Its probably an outlier.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:12 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:11 pm Its probably an outlier.

Bad runs are always outliers Jr.

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:21 pm

GEM looks to improve over the 12z too.

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:36 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:21 pm GEM looks to improve over the 12z too.

DoesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t get there.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:51 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:36 pm DoesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t get there.

Still looks decent. This could still end up more favourable past 240hr.

gem-all-nhemi-z500_anom-3088000.png

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:04 pm

Euro with the 3 pointer or shoot out win!

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:26 pm

Cut off low doesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t appear on the western flank of the block. The Euro could be trying something.

Edit: Nevermind.

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:33 pm

The GFS and Euro are pretty similar at day 6.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:35 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:33 pm The GFS and Euro are pretty similar at day 6.

Yup were done.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:35 pm

Edit: Never mind, its following the GFS progression.

Major improvements on 00Z Euro.

00Z:

18ZEuroFeb1.png

12Z:

12ZEuroFeb1.png

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:36 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:35 pm Yup were done.

If nothing interesting shows up on the models by mid February, I might agree. Otherwise, on to the next run.

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:38 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:35 pm Major improvements on 00Z Euro.

I donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t think so, JR. The base of that block is far too weak to provide any real blocking for us.

Post by **Bonovox** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:39 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:38 pm I donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t think so, JR. The base of that block is far too weak to provide any real blocking for us.

You can see why by day 7. Just like the GFS.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:40 pm

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:39 pm You can see why by day 7. Just like the GFS.

Yup. I edited the post as the next frame revealed its following the GFS progression.