Winter 2020-2021

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by stuffradio »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri May 22, 2020 10:44 am LMAO what the hell

https://twitter.com/AlexLubbers2/status ... 2017683457
That was altered. The real one is much more minor
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by VanCitySouth »

stuffradio wrote: Fri May 22, 2020 11:38 am That was altered. The real one is much more minor
oh phew thanks for clearing that up I was wondering
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 65 to 25 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 22 cm
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by PortKells »

:lol: welcome to the day after tomorrow.
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Fri May 22, 2020 11:38 am That was altered. The real one is much more minor
Cold cucumber baby! :lol:
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by Typeing3 »

Equatorial SST anomalies looking good for that La Nina next winter.
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by WeatherPro »

Full on La Nina this coming winter? So far so good!
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by John »

WeatherPro wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 6:55 pm Full on La Nina this coming winter? So far so good!
:wave:
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by Typeing3 »

WeatherPro wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 6:55 pm Full on La Nina this coming winter? So far so good!
Looking more and more likely. Updated SST anomalies:
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: Sun Jun 21, 2020 7:25 pm:wave:
keep us updated through the coming months Weather Pro. And stay safe.
Join us next season for the 8th annual that's not accurate snowfall contest.

:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 15.0cm :king1: :bravo:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 3.5cm :(
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by Typeing3 »

Here's a way too early look at potential analogues for this winter.

Winters included in the list below were either cold neutral or La Ninas (as this winter is forecast to be) and were proceeded by two winters which were either warm neutral or El Ninos, as the past two have been. Using this criteria, I ended up with these winters…

1901-02
1905-06
1915-16
1920-21
1931-32
1942-43
1954-55
1959-60
1970-71
1978-79
1992-93
1995-96
2005-06

Using these analogues I averaged out monthly mean temps and snowfall for November thru March (for Vancouver)....

Nov: 6.0C, 2.3cm
Dec: 3.9C, 7.8cm
Jan: 1.9C, 30.9cm
Feb: 4.2C, 13.5cm
Mar: 5.8C, 5.7cm
Total winter snowfall @YVR: 60.2cm

Keep in mind this list is focusing purely on ENSO conditions and not taking into accounts other factors such as the previous year's ENSO intensity (some were moderate/strong Ninos), QBO phase or low/high solar. I believe this winter is forecast to have a +QBO and we are still in a low solar phase so this list will undoubtedly be trimmed when taking either or both factors into account.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by Canada Goose »

:D

Image
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by tyweather »

Looks great for skiing. I wonder what how the mountains will run the skiing operations. Limit day tickets? Put up signs to distance in the line? Only people that are in your bubble in the lift? Limited lodge operations?
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by John »

tyweather wrote: Tue Aug 18, 2020 9:08 pm Looks great for skiing. I wonder what how the mountains will run the skiing operations. Limit day tickets? Put up signs to distance in the line? Only people that are in your bubble in the lift? Limited lodge operations?
:lol:

I saw a car drive by with one person in it wearing a
Mask! Why?? :lol:
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Re: Winter 2020-2021

Post by Glacier »

John wrote: Tue Aug 18, 2020 9:24 pm :lol:

I saw a car drive by with one person in it wearing a
Mask! Why?? :lol:
The people who are wearing a mask while driving to prevent Covid are the same people who wear a condom while driving so they don't get an STD.
Last edited by Glacier on Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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