January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Those were some pretty crooked numbers being shown on the euro wind maps for tomorrow night. Hasn’t been much talk of it but it could be a decent storm
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:13 pm
Edit. You forgot slowly moderating temperatures and we come out of the “cold spell” with little to no snow.
Oh yeah! Gradual moderation of the airmass. 850mb temps warm to +9 before the system arrives. EC calls for "chance of flurries or showers" for some reason when we all know its going to be straight rain.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

John wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:20 pm Lol whatever works for you this not going to be anything great there has not been one semi epic gfs run yet so this will water down into a cool low snow level episode maybe something big mid February?
So unless there is a semi epic GFS run the event will not be epic? What about the GFS runs showing -15 and -20C in Abbotsford last year? :?

Not to mention, the region wide snowstorms and reload of arctic air the GFS kept showing consistently. Didn't even come close to verifying.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Haha, one mediocre Op run and people are pulling out the forks!

The GEFS is still similar to it's previous runs.

00z vs 18z
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:27 pm Haha, one mediocre Op run and people are pulling out the forks!

The GEFS is still similar to it's previous runs.

00z vs 18z
I know its crazy. :crazy: :lol: :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:27 pm Haha, one mediocre Op run and people are pulling out the forks!

The GEFS is still similar to it's previous runs.

00z vs 18z
That ridge is a notch closer to the Coast.

It's over. Just like the Oilers chances of doing anything remotely positive this season.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

That's some amplification. :shock:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

WeatherPro wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 5:22 pm Incredible model output again today!

If this keeps up we my see systems sliding down the coast giving multiple snowfalls, and at least one blizzard like situation is shaping up as a possibility. I hope the future runs remain consistent!

Snowy systems will ride down the coast most likely:

20211.jpg

This will all lead to at least 1 major:

20212.jpg
This is exactly what we have been dreaming for. Everybody will be happy except Mr Pineapple.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:27 pm Haha, one mediocre Op run and people are pulling out the forks!

The GEFS is still similar to it's previous runs.

00z vs 18z
No SE ridge. Next!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:29 pm That ridge is a notch closer to the Coast.

It's over. Just like the Oilers chances of doing anything remotely positive this season.
Go to bed.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:27 pm Haha, one mediocre Op run and people are pulling out the forks!

The GEFS is still similar to it's previous runs.

00z vs 18z
Prepare yourself for disappointment Bono!

It’s over!

;)
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The block is skinnier and the SE ridge is a bit delayed, but it's coming.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z has a cool shot next Thursday.
740A6E52-4F62-4D77-A54D-9ED019A41DCC.jpeg
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Looks pretty similar to me.

00z vs 18z
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

GEPS
103EDC11-A38C-4692-8A1C-360BD48FA58C.png
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