January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[AbbyJr]

Backdoor!

The GFS operational has been all over the place. Remember, its the ensembles that matter this far out.

[Hawk]

Soon will be a cut off Low with ridging across the PNW taking over

[Hawk]

[Catnip]

@

[Catnip]

The GFS operational has been all over the place. Remember, its the ensembles that matter this far out.

Yeah, it seems to spit out a different outcome with each run.

I’d follow the EPS.

[Catnip]

Trough digging a bit too south no?

We need it to stop at the WA/OR border.

[wetcoast91]

Yeah, it seems to spit out a different outcome with each run.

I’d follow the EPS.

My prediction. Quick blast of arctic air with potential spot flurries for SW BC. Snowstorm for SW Washington/Oregon. Ridge axis pivots bringing dry inversion into SW BC and frigid air into Eugene and E Oregon. Ridge plops over driving the cold air to Barrie. SW BC sees major troughing in April/May

[Hawk]

what started as a nice block is turning into to much of a tilt with some of the recent runs..lets hope that trend doesnt continue

Wheres Monty? Down south again?

[AbbyJr]

Yeah, it seems to spit out a different outcome with each run.

I’d follow the EPS.

Yup. Ensembles are most reliable at this point.

[Hawk]

My prediction. Quick blast of arctic air with potential spot flurries for SW BC. Snowstorm for SW Washington/Oregon. Ridge axis pivots bringing dry inversion into SW BC and frigid air into Eugene and E Oregon. Ridge plops over driving the cold air to Barrie. SW BC sees major troughing in April/May

That face!! hahahahaha

[Catnip]

My prediction. Quick blast of arctic air with potential spot flurries for SW BC. Snowstorm for SW Washington/Oregon. Ridge axis pivots bringing dry inversion into SW BC and frigid air into Eugene and E Oregon. Ridge plops over driving the cold air to Barrie. SW BC sees major troughing in April/May

that face.

Certainly a possibility. Wouldn’t be the first time in recent years.

Hopefully not.



Edit. You forgot slowly moderating temperatures and we come out of the “cold spell” with little to no snow.

[PortKells]

Relaaax its one not that bad gfs run. Completely unsupported by the EPS and others.

[Hawk]

Yeah, it seems to spit out a different outcome with each run.

I’d follow the EPS.

i dont get the EPS cant afford it..cutbacks due to Covid-19

[Monty]

what started as a nice block is turning into to much of a tilt with some of the recent runs..lets hope that trend doesnt continue

Wheres Monty? Down south again?

Nope. Just getting caught up. Putting the kids to bed. Honestly the operational runs were pretty lame tonight. But it’s still way out in fantasy range. Looks blocky and smaller details don’t matter much at this point

[John]

Yup. Ensembles are most reliable at this point.

Lol whatever works for you this not going to be anything great there has not been one semi epic gfs run yet so this will water down into a cool low snow level episode maybe something big mid February?