December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Michael1 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:41 am Nope, you're the guy who likes to pee on the campfire, because it annoys the people enjoying themselves and it leaves a stink in the air.
I like to piss on campfires to prevent wildfires and ensuing smoke plumes.

Try again.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:45 am First week of January is looking like a definite bust. Remember how the weeklies said -pna from dec 20 until forever? Now it looks to spike again around jan. This is one magical climate. It appears the models just don't know how to handle it beyond 12 days. I wish I wasn't totally tied down to living here (not just weather related, but climate is a big part of it). Especially since cool summers have disappeared as well.
Even though they come from the Euro, the weeklies are often a pile of hot garbage in the accuracy department.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:45 am First week of January is looking like a definite bust. Remember how the weeklies said -pna from dec 20 until forever? Now it looks to spike again around jan. This is one magical climate. It appears the models just don't know how to handle it beyond 12 days. I wish I wasn't totally tied down to living here (not just weather related, but climate is a big part of it). Especially since cool summers have disappeared as well.
That's probably the only thing I love about our climate these days. :thumbup:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:45 am I like to piss on campfires to prevent wildfires and ensuing smoke plumes.

Try again.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:45 am I like to piss on campfires to prevent wildfires and ensuing smoke plumes.

Try again.
Can someone give wetcoast another kitten or hamster? the last one burnt out...
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:48 am Even though they come from the Euro, the weeklies are often a pile of hot garbage in the accuracy department.
Often times the models can't get their sh*t together in the short term, so I guess it is sort of difficult to put much stock in them for the long term.

The extended GFS ensemble looked decent starting the second week of Jan though. :lol:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:49 am That's probably the only thing I love about our climate these days. :thumbup:
Yes, our summer preferences are most definitely completely opposite. Actually I havent hated the last two right up until this recent horrendous September. If summers here were consistently like 2019 I'd be good with that.
Last edited by PortKells on Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:53 am Often times the models can't get their sh*t together in the short term, so I guess it is sort of difficult to put much stock in them for the long term.

The extended GFS ensemble looked decent starting the second week of Jan though. :lol:
Day 35 looks epic!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

12Z ECMWF pretty much takes the low up to Port Hardy. Big time southerly winds shoots up temps into the low teens Monday morning. Cold front looks good for brief rains and gusty NW winds.

Just ready for some sunshine after this week. Looks like ridging and a weak split flow should take hold.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

Cmon Nito. The rain and mildness is depressing enough. We dont need a play by play of the next bommy ridge or AR event. :poke: and then :hammer:
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by hawk2 »

That last emoti needs help Hound..half missing
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

hawk2 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:21 am Cmon Nito. The rain and mildness is depressing enough. We dont need a play by play of the next bommy ridge or AR event. :poke: and then :hammer:
I think it could be your fault Buttee. We had better luck when only Hawk was around. Our luck seems to have changed every since hawk2 arrived on the scene.

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:17 am 12Z ECMWF pretty much takes the low up to Port Hardy. Big time southerly winds shoots up temps into the low teens Monday morning. Cold front looks good for brief rains and gusty NW winds.

Just ready for some sunshine after this week. Looks like ridging and a weak split flow should take hold.
I don't remember if I have ever had temps in the teens on my birthday.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

I hear Florida is a great place to go if you like cold weather around Christmas.
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VS
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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