January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:hearteyes:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weekend into Monday snow on the 12Z GFS.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weekend into Monday snow on the 12Z GEM.
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 9:23 am Weekend into Monday snow on the 12Z GEM.

gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
gem-all-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8627200.png
Real action on GEM is Mon-Wed.

We're in a good spot. It's a cold first, details later kinda deal now.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 65 to 25 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 22 cm
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Reload at the end of the 12Z run

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 8:13 am It’s one of the easiest ways we get a snowfail instead of a snowfall here: too much cold air, tumbleweeds here, all the snowy fun caused by cold air clashing with moist marine air stays well to our south. Weaker blasts tend to be better for us if you want snow.
Its moreso about the tough orientation for big snows, as a weak blast could also mean dry with 2c/-6c days.

Tight N-S temp gradients (battleground setups) tend to be the best for producing snow around here... like Dec 2022, Jan 2020, Feb 2017, Dec 1996, Dec 1964, Jan 1954, Jan 1935, etc, etc. These can also be accompanied by very cold temps as a deep, cold, arctic airmass remains entrenched in the north and interior.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Low of -4.5c in east Coquitlam earlier this AM.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 9:36 am Real action on GEM is Mon-Wed.

We're in a good spot. It's a cold first, details later kinda deal now.
Timing hasn't really changed over the last couple days... looks like it should be cold enough for snow across the Lower Mainland by Saturday night. Not set in stone yet of course, but once we get within 96hrs, it's closer to a lock.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Mon Jan 27, 2025 9:20 am :hearteyes: B66B9A0B-BF03-43DE-8E64-F76A2DBDAA2D.png
Looks good at face value. Ensuing that energy north of Hawaii doesn't blast northward is key. Would be much better if we see it drift eastward into California.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Euro :flakey:
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The 12Z Euro has some snow on Saturday night. I'm not getting any top tier cold vibes but this could be a snowy period upcoming. :wave: :flakey: :14clown:

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

:alert: :alert: :alert:

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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Weekend into Monday snow on the 12Z ECMWF.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8454400.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-8540800.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

It's too snowy. Throw it out!
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