October 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

[Hawk]

Hearing thunder in East Van.

Looking West from Coquitlam around 5:00pm..and the skies looked very angry!

[Hawk]

Trough after trough!

yessss
Let's hope we get lots of that from Dec 1 to Mar 1

[stuffradio]

It was definitely looking stormy outside. I had a brief shower but that's about it as far as I witnessed while I was outside. It was a little blustery as well.

[stuffradio]

The 00z seems drier overall.

gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

[Hawk]

After this AR event the GFS has it pretty dry for the rest of the month..of course highly unlikely here on the Wetcoast for this time period (it is the GFS)

[VanCitySouth]

HELLO I RETURN!

So what are we thinking this weekend? Wet? Very wet?
Simple guesstimate from the model average of about 75-150mm over 48 hours in Metro Vancouver.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Look what dropped this afternoon:

4:13 PM PDT Thursday 17 October 2024
Rainfall Warning in effect for:

Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster

Heavy rain expected on Friday into Saturday.

Where: Metro Vancouver and Howe Sound and sections of the Sea-to-Sky highway south of Whistler.

When: Friday and Saturday.

What: Storm totals of 40 to 70 mm are expected in Metro Vancouver, 70 to 100 mm possible in the Sea-to-Sky corridor, and higher amounts potentially exceeding 100 mm over the North Shore Mountains.

Hazards:
- Water pooling on roads
- Swollen rivers and creeks
- Minor coastal flooding

Remarks: A strong fall storm system will direct an atmospheric river towards the South Coast, bringing heavy rain to the region. Rain will begin Friday morning and intensify through the afternoon and evening, with the heaviest rain expected Saturday morning and early afternoon. Rain should ease on Saturday evening, though a second pulse of rain is expected Sunday.

Ahead of the storm, ensure that drains are clear of leaves and debris and secure loose objects out-of-doors.

Keep up to date with the latest advisories from the River Forecast Centre at:
https://bcrfc.env.gov.bc.ca/warnings/index.htm

Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads. Localized flooding in low-lying areas is possible.

If visibility is reduced while driving, turn on your lights and maintain a safe following distance.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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20241018051124-41f6b710ec3504672d1d304e1f2c024254bef9c0.png

20241018051102-ff35aced7561994d2012cefe5c12c41d4a7d186f.png

[Forrest Gump]

In case someone is having trouble getting in the last 24 hrs , like me, the top left login button not working, showing error. I just realized there's a login option down below,so I tried it and it worked.

[AbbyJr]

In case someone is having trouble getting in the last 24 hrs , like me, the top left login button not working, showing error. I just realized there's a login option down below,so I tried it and it worked.

Thank you so much!!! That workaround worked!

I've been trying to login since sometime yesterday and kept getting an error message. It's nice to be able to use the forums again.

[AbbyJr]

Latest model runs have significantly increased Saturday's rainfall totals for areas south of the Fraser. Looks very wet if current solutions verify.

Rainfall totals from 12AM Saturday to 12AM Sunday:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-9407600.png

rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-9407600.png

icon-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-9407600.png

[stuffradio]

In case someone is having trouble getting in the last 24 hrs , like me, the top left login button not working, showing error. I just realized there's a login option down below,so I tried it and it worked.

Sorry that this happened. I just cleared the cache and the error should be fixed.

[AbbyJr]

Sorry that this happened. I just cleared the cache and the error should be fixed.

Thanks so much!!! The top button is now working. You can disregard my twitter message where I reported the forums as being down.

[Roberts Creeker]

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (5).png

Thanks Typeing!

Wow! look at that precipitation mountain on the graph!

[stuffradio]

Thanks so much!!! The top button is now working. You can disregard my twitter message where I reported the forums as being down.

Unfortunately I still haven't returned to Twitter, but I have the Facebook group that I would use