December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Macster
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Macster »

Hawk wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 11:25 am HawksHill in the Hammmmmmer zone!! :shh:
Hopefully down the Hill from Hawkshill also gets hammered :)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 11:33 am I will take one order of 7" in Vancouver please. Plus a couple repeat orders in January.
Still think 4" (i.e. 10 cm) is a likely upper bound in my area, but there will be no complaints from me if that expectation is shattered.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 11:44 am Still think 4" (i.e. 10 cm) is a likely upper bound in my area, but there will be no complaints from me if that expectation is shattered.
I think most models are going for 3-4" as a 10:1 ratio in the city proper. 7" from Euro is certainly on the high side but I'd expect 4-6".
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 11:53 am I think most models are going for 3-4" as a 10:1 ratio in the city proper. 7" from Euro is certainly on the high side but I'd expect 4-6".
If the higher trend persists in the models through this afternoon, I will start believing.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 11:28 am EPS day 10.
image.thumb.png.798afc291777d0b082fe0bff202dc396.png
That looks like a very precarious setup.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Considering I’ve started to feel pretty sick today out of nowhere.

Just let it dump snow since I won’t have to worry about the drivers
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Weather101 wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 12:06 pm Considering I’ve started to feel pretty sick today out of nowhere.

Just let it dump snow since I won’t have to worry about the drivers
Take care and hope you feel better. Snow cures all!
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 11:44 am Still think 4" (i.e. 10 cm) is a likely upper bound in my area, but there will be no complaints from me if that expectation is shattered.
10-15 cm. looks more and more realistic now. 18z 3km Nam support that. 12km even in the 20 cm range
Last edited by Storm on Wed Dec 29, 2021 12:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I'm gonna put this out there. If we clear out fast enough tomorrow PM, with the fresh snow and a bit of outflow behind the system, we might squeak out -10 before 10 PM which would extend the streak.
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hawk wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 6:25 am Not even 24 hours ago, or in weather language, around 3Zs ago :lol:
Chalk one up for the old Hawwwwwwwwk!!! :hearteyes:
Can't you post something different, like the temperature or how many feeetzzzz you have in the Swamplimeenzzz, leave your ego at the door it's all about you everyday. :roll: c'mon man.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

The system is stronger on this run.
ref1km_ptype.us_nw.png
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

It's happening :shock: The last minute positive swings are almost never wrong. I'm better they continue trending upward throughout the day. 15-25 widespread with localized amounts of even more is still not out of the question.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 12:21 pm It's happening :shock: The last minute positive swings are almost never wrong. I'm better they continue trending upward throughout the day. 15-25 widespread with localized amounts of even more is still not out of the question.
Rubus should put more faith in his HRRR
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 12:21 pm It's happening :shock: The last minute positive swings are almost never wrong. I'm better they continue trending upward throughout the day. 15-25 widespread with localized amounts of even more is still not out of the question.
Now the system is developed and the models have better idea.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 29, 2021 12:21 pm It's happening :shock: The last minute positive swings are almost never wrong. I'm better they continue trending upward throughout the day. 15-25 widespread with localized amounts of even more is still not out of the question.
Global updated their amounts to 15 cm.
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