December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

It might be the clown range GFS, but I've had a good feeling for a while that it's going to snow down to sea level in January.

Ya, it keeps being shown which is nice.

We’ll see.

#week2

[SouthSardiswx]

Ya, it keeps being shown which is nice.

We’ll see.

#week2

Don't fall for it Cats it's A.I. El Nino's what's your script for these maps?

[Catnip]

Don't fall for it Cats it's A.I.

Oh I won’t.

Excitement level is 2/10 currently.

Will increase when it still shows 1-2 days away from the event.

[PortKells]

14° , shorts weather. This year's polar bear swim should be a walk in the park,just another day on the beach.

I can attest that okanagan lake is still bitterly cold, maybe I’ll try the ocean when I’m back in town.

[AbbyJr]

Screenshot 2023-12-29 at 4.07.10 PM.png

[Canada Goose]

17.2°C Seattle 3rd highest in December
16.5°C Sheringham Point
16.0°C Tofino monthly record
14.6°C Sechelt
14.5°C West Vancouver
14.4°C Cultus Lake
14.2°C White Rock
13.3°C Agassiz
13.1°C Qualicum Beach
12.5°C Victoria
12.4°C Vancouver

[SouthSardiswx]

17.2°C Seattle 3rd highest in December
16.5°C Sheringham Point (Temperature taken on rocky ground inaccurate)
16.0°C Tofino monthly record (Just because)
14.6°C Sechelt ( No where near Sechelt)
14.5°C West Vancouver (Too close to trees always warm)
14.4°C Cultus Lake (Too much pavement)
14.2°C White Rock (Hot air from skipper Gimpers condo)
13.3°C Agassiz (Too much downsloping Annus effect)
13.1°C Qualicum Beach (No one there in the winter who cares)
12.5°C Victoria (Hot air from legislative bldg.)
12.4°C Vancouver ( Not even close to Vancouver city)

l'm guessing some of those readings may be suspect Corporal Gooser due to bad locations among other things as pointed out in your world tour of inaccurate weather station locations.

[SouthSardiswx]

I can attest that okanagan lake is still bitterly cold, maybe I’ll try the ocean when I’m back in town.

The pond in south Sardis is always toasty warm.

[wetcoast91]

00z GFS continues with a split flow through 9 days. Looks rather dry and chilly.

Has a funny snowstorm at day 10.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS continues with a split flow through 9 days. Looks rather dry and chilly.

Has a funny snowstorm at day 10.

Martime polar!

#slush

[AbbyJr]

CFS!!!

cfs-daily-all-c00-nhemi-z500_anom_7day-5795200.png

cfs-daily-all-c00-albertabc-t2m_c_anom_7day-5795200.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

And right on schedule…

Screenshot 2023-12-29 at 20.58.12.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_168hr_cm-5060800.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_168hr_cm-4715200.png

[Mattman]

Kelowna is on track to have their driest year on record. The record is 149.4mm set in 1952. They’re currently at 147.5mm. There was a story in Kelowna Now about this earlier in the month. I can’t find the story now. I do remember the article was confident the record would be beat.
Second driest year: 2021, 170mm
Third driest: 1939, 176.9mm
The article focused on precip on the valley floor. In reality, that’s not important. Interesting but irrelevant. Precip in the mountains is what’s important in the Okanagan. I doubt the mountains have received ~43% of normal precip like the valley floor in the central Okanagan.

[Hawk]

The last 13 years have had a few duds for the local ski resorts on the North Shore. There are years with lots of snow but word is the snow quality has been totally mediocre.

There is a massive push from investors to open up crown land further north for ski resorts for a reason...

Or..considering the climate trends of the last few decades..why not have a local ski operation with base of ~1500m and peaks of 2200m like Whistler..go above the bommy and mild winter weather