January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[AbbyJr]

At this range? I'd go with a blend of 96, 02 and 08.

This isn't perfectly accurate because it shows the average for the whole month, but here's what you get when you blend those years. Decent.

500mbjan.png

2mtempjan.png

[Bonovox]

Would a mega block be good? Or would a merger be bad?

I think any assistance in amplifying heights into Alaska would not hurt. It is our conduit to arctic air.

[Bonovox]

So far the 00z EPS is stronger with the ridge and begins the retrogression a tad sooner. We'll see where it goes.

[Bonovox]

So far the 00z EPS is stronger with the ridge and begins the retrogression a tad sooner. We'll see where it goes.

So far we have the block, Kona low and a SE ridge emerging. The EPS might be really good.

[Bonovox]

So far the 00z EPS is stronger with the ridge and begins the retrogression a tad sooner. We'll see where it goes.

And much improved over the 12z.

[Bonovox]

This is looking good.

[Bonovox]

Cold air building in the West.

[Typeing3]

This is looking good.

Very similar to the GEFS on day 11 as well.

SE ridge looks a tad stronger on the EPS which is good.

[Bonovox]

Very similar to the GEFS on day 11 as well.

SE ridge looks a tad stronger on the EPS which is good.

The block is a notch further east too.

[Bonovox]

The cool down begins.

[Typeing3]

The block is a notch further east too.

Could be more amplified but it's pretty much in a perfect spot. Very broad too.

[Bonovox]

Could be more amplified but it's pretty much in a perfect spot. Very broad too.

Yeah, would like to see some more amplification. It is an ensemble mean though, so perhaps a bit muted than what will hopefully translate to the Op in the coming days.

[Bonovox]

The cool down begins.

[Bonovox]

That was a good night of model riding.

[SouthSardiswx]

We lost Bonorman went south. Oh he's back your on both forums tonight How are children behaving?