February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by **stuffradio** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 11:10 am

2020021012_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_186.png

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 12:14 pm

20200210-115021.jpg

John · Post by **John** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:24 pm

WhatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s the next time for significant rainfall as in more than five mm

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:29 pm

John wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:24 pm WhatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s the next time for significant rainfall as in more than five mm

Probably Thursday and Saturday

John · Post by **John** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:35 pm

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:29 pm Probably Thursday and Saturday

Thanks

Forrest Gump · Post by **Forrest Gump** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:43 pm

John wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:35 pmThanks

No thanks......to significant rainfall , we've had enough.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:54 pm

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 2:43 pm No thanks......to significant rainfall , we've had enough.

Not to worry Gumps it's just Johns opposite of how much snow for Chilliwack since winter's over.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:59 pm

GEM is chilly with some snow in the clown range.

gem-all-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-1336000.png

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:22 pm

Ridging is much less pronounced in the 18Z ensembles. Hope to see that trend continue.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:39 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 3:59 pm GEM is chilly with some snow in the clown range.

gem-all-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-1336000.png

Jr. if you don't stop it you'll wear it out.

John has spoken.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 4:43 pm

O.k. let's see in the last week we've seen the models go from Arctic air to dry and spring like to wet and below sesonal.

kinda like watching the Knuckles loose 4 in a row and falling out of first at this rate
El Nito from 4 to 6 weeks of cooler temps to dry and 15c to disappearing.

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:12 pm

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_45.png

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:15 pm

namconus_asnow_nwus_25.png

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:23 pm

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:12 pm namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_45.png

This is not El Nito approved.

Willoughby · Post by **Willoughby** » Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:33 pm

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:12 pm namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_45.png

I saw the same thing with the NAM too.
Seems like itÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s been gradually hinting at Thursday AM system coming in colder last few runs.

My gut feeling all along was that the t-storm activity around the Indian Ocean are really throwing the models for a loop, especially anywhere mid to long term and that a good bet was for chilly NW flow with multiple borderline fringe snow events for the next couple weeks.

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