February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 11:58 am So my suggestion isn't as silly as I thought? :D :thumbup:
Not really. :lol:

Haven't seen a classic April slushfall in recent years...now that would be more noteworthy.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

March snowfall is basically climo... typically a trace-5 cm, but sometimes 5-10 cm throughout the month. More than that would be fairly rare.

April snowfalls really are rare. The last one I can remember is April 14th, 2011... 5.6 cm here.

14apr2011.JPG
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Abby_wx wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 1:59 pm March snowfall is basically climo... typically a trace-5 cm, but sometimes 5-10 cm throughout the month. More than that would be fairly rare.

April snowfalls really are rare. The last one I can remember is April 14th, 2011... 5.6 cm here.


14apr2011.JPG
We also had back to back April snowfalls in 2008 and 2009.

The 2008 snowfall was very notable as it occured during the latter half of the month.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

I like surprises ,like dark cells popping up out of nowhere and producing snowflakes at +5°-+7°.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 2:11 pm We also had back to back April snowfalls in 2008 and 2009.

The 2008 snowfall was very notable as it occured during the latter half of the month.
Its interesting that it appears Abbotsford's snowiest month was March 1951. 115.1cm fell, mostly in a week. Whats also impressive was how cold it got. March 6th, for example, the high was -6.1C. Low was -10C. Even as a low, I doubt Abbotsford has ever seen a -10C low in March before or after the 1951 event. I wonder if that was a valley special or if Metro Vancouver also got hit hard? I can't seem to find the historical stats for Metro Vancouver locations. Anyone have any links?
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

A *violent* jet stream brought the British Airways’ Boeing 747 across the North Atlantic in less than five (5) hours!

https://www.severe-weather.eu/recent-ev ... flight-mk/
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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AbbyJr wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 3:15 pm Its interesting that it appears Abbotsford's snowiest month was March 1951. 115.1cm fell, mostly in a week. Whats also impressive was how cold it got. March 6th, for example, the high was -6.1C. Low was -10C. Even as a low, I doubt Abbotsford has ever seen a -10C low in March before or after the 1951 event. I wonder if that was a valley special or if Metro Vancouver also got hit hard? I can't seem to find the historical stats for Metro Vancouver locations. Anyone have any links?
The March 1951 event was very snowy. Probably a similar setup to Jan 1954 with progressively higher snow totals as you moved east into the valley.

-10C lows in March are indeed extremely rare though. Also very tough to pull off a sub 0C high under full sunshine by then. We saw consecutive subfreezing days during the first three days of March 1896...so it can happen.

Perhaps even more impressive was March 11/12th 1897...two consecutive subfreezing days and dipping to -10C at night.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 4:04 pm The March 1951 event was very snowy. Probably a similar setup to Jan 1954 with progressively higher snow totals as you moved east into the valley.

-10C lows in March are indeed extremely rare though. Also very tough to pull off a sub 0C high under full sunshine by then. We saw consecutive subfreezing days during the first three days of March 1896...so it can happen.

Perhaps even more impressive was March 11/12th 1897...two consecutive subfreezing days and dipping to -10C at night.
Wow I forgot how snowy January 1954 was. Looks like Abbotsford saw 140.1cm that month, so it was a bit snowier than March 1951.

But both March 1951 and January 1954 were likely the snowiest months for Abbotsford on record.

Oh my, 118.7cm of snow fell in 11 days in Abbotsford during the January 1954 event. Temperatures were well below 0 during most of the event, so I can only imagine the incredible snow depth that would have been recorded. Why can't we see something like that ever repeat? :cry:
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 4:17 pm Wow I forgot how snowy January 1954 was. Looks like Abbotsford saw 140.1cm that month, so it was a bit snowier than March 1951.

But both March 1951 and January 1954 were likely the snowiest months for Abbotsford on record.

Oh my, 118.7cm of snow fell in 11 days in Abbotsford during the January 1954 event. Temperatures were well below 0 during most of the event, so I can only imagine the incredible snow depth that would have been recorded. Why can't we see something like that ever repeat? :cry:
Let's do some math... in December 2008, a peak depth of 49 cm was recorded against a total of 77.6 cm that fell between Dec 13th and Dec 26th. That works out to 63% of the total that fell.

In 1954, a total of 132.9 cm fell from the evening of the 14th to the morning of the 27th... roughly the same length of time as the December 2008 event. The temperature was below freezing during that entire period, so it's likely that significant amount was able to accumulate. Using the same math, I get a peak depth of 83 cm for the 1954 event. The 1954 event was slightly colder than the 2008 one, so it's possible even more was able to accumulate.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sorry sun/dry lovers, but we're trending more active and wet here as we get closer to that mid month trough. Family day weekend is shaping up to be excellent for the local mountains and beyond. Our snowpack will be in fantastic shape going into March.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 5:29 pm Sorry sun/dry lovers, but we're trending more active and wet here as we get closer to that mid month trough. Family day weekend is shaping up to be excellent for the local mountains and beyond. Our snowpack will be in fantastic shape going into March.
Nice to see the snowpack is still in good shape.

We will make up for this wetness come spring and summer. The return of the west coast ridge will yield hot and dry conditions from April through October!
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 4:17 pm Wow I forgot how snowy January 1954 was. Looks like Abbotsford saw 140.1cm that month, so it was a bit snowier than March 1951.

But both March 1951 and January 1954 were likely the snowiest months for Abbotsford on record.

Oh my, 118.7cm of snow fell in 11 days in Abbotsford during the January 1954 event. Temperatures were well below 0 during most of the event, so I can only imagine the incredible snow depth that would have been recorded. Why can't we see something like that ever repeat? :cry:
Move on buddy winter will come back next year
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

John wrote: Sun Feb 09, 2020 5:51 pm Move on buddy winter will come back next year
:lol: John has spoken, here you go Jr. :ghug:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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Lightning Lake.

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Re: February 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hard to believe we had one sunny day in Chilliwack yesterday, today was sock in with cloud my low is morning was a frosty -1.6c.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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