December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:55 am I guess model solutions showing 150cm of snow with lows of -20C should be looked at with just a pound of skepticism. It was probably some of the best powder snow a lot of people have seen in a decade or more. Anyway, every little microclimate has their own experiences, I think January had the coldest deep powder I’ve seen here since 1996.
For the valley, it was pretty much level with January 2012. Otherwise I agree.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 10:55 am I guess model solutions showing 150cm of snow with lows of -20C should be looked at with just a pound of skepticism. It was probably some of the best powder snow a lot of people have seen in a decade or more. Anyway, every little microclimate has their own experiences, I think January had the coldest deep powder I’ve seen here since 1996.
It wasn't bad at all. I think it was the most intense 5 day period since Dec 2008.

I think most here would take a period like that this year.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Oops. I have angered constable Jesse Krause on the American forums. easy to do!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Hmmmm. the euro is showing some small accumulations here and about 6 or 8 gfs members are seeing 10+ cm on Monday here (new from overnight). I can see how that would happen, that low would have to track east and just graze us as an anafront type setup. Definitely worth keeping an eye on.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:25 am Oops. I have angered constable Jesse Krause on the American forums. easy to do!
I suggest the following photo's to cheer him up

Image

Image

Image
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hard not to consider those model runs a disappointment. Ah well, its just weather.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The EPS digs the trough a little deeper than the Op.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:48 am Hard not to consider those model runs a disappointment. Ah well, its just weather.
Still looking like actual blocking is going to be a problem. GEPS looking more progressive again today.
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Does anyone have the EPS Snowfall output for Vic?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Not a big fan of the long range EPS today. The ridge is trending further East.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Catnip wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:54 am 14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
Outlier!
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:52 am Not a big fan of the long range EPS today. The ridge is trending further East.
It sure is and the beat goes on....
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Jesse and Monty still getting into it.

@Monty, can you link Jesse to this forum please?
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Re: December 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 11:54 am 14-km EPS Global North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif
At least we could see some chilly sunny days? Sure beats this endless gloom. :thumbup:
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