December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:42 am:arrow:
:wave: :trailer: Right thing to do right El Neeters. :flakey:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:42 am:arrow:
Yes naturally most of it will go :arrow: , that just how it works out in most cases.

Hopefully we can at least get clipped with some :anus: winds though!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:49 am Yes naturally most of it will go :arrow: , that just how it works out in most cases.

Hopefully we can at least get clipped with some :anus: winds though!
:fart2: That works Catnackers.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:shock: :think:

Screenshot 2023-12-28 at 11-30-15 BCStorms Weather Forums - Search.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:40 am 12Z GEFS

:silent:

:think:
height.png
temp.png
Not bad but missing tilt. We’ll definitely take it for high elevation snowpack provided there’s precipitation.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

tyweather wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 8:48 am Because we wasted our money on a seasons pass this year.
Fair enough.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:41 am The thing that worries me a bit is there really isn’t a source of real cold air during the first half of January. So, even if we get a trough setup over the west coast, I don’t think we’ll see impressive cold.

With that said, we don’t need impressive cold to get snow. Some offshore flow with continental influence will do the trick, so I do think we’ll see some flakes.

While all this is happening, I think the cold pool really builds up over Northern Canada. The best dynamics however will probably favour eastern Canada by then. Hopefully, we can get some back door action or a glancing below before it shifts east.

My two cents.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:41 am The thing that worries me a bit is there really isn’t a source of real cold air during the first half of January. So, even if we get a trough setup over the west coast, I don’t think we’ll see impressive cold.

With that said, we don’t need impressive cold to get snow. Some offshore flow with continental influence will do the trick, so I do think we’ll see some flakes.

While all this is happening, I think the cold pool really builds up over Northern Canada. The best dynamics however will probably favour eastern Canada by then. Hopefully, we can get some back door action or a glancing below before it shifts east.

My two cents.
Agreed. But if we can somehow manage to get a major SSW with a polar vortex split, then we may be able to tap into some colder arctic air.
But models have significantly backed off on that solution. However, a minor SSW is still likely meaning we will have a weak polar vortex throughout January. Unfortunately, that likely won't be enough to fully reverse the dominate El Niño pattern. But some cold and snow is still possible.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

I just want a dry :anus: so we can actually dry out. It has been damp for 2 months here.

Would be nice to do a January mow without the grass sticking to everything. :thumbup:
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:21 am Hopefully the potential upcoming cool down brings with it some mountain snows.

I believe Cypress also has a decent snow making setup?
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

A week or two of some below normal temps in January during this El Torcho should be applauded at this point. Of course anything more would be great, but gotta keep expectations in check.

The mountains really need some snow but this looks like it may be a dry potential cool down.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Dec 27, 2023 11:45 pm 12c at midnight at the end of December... average high for this time of year is 5c. :lol:
:lol: :lol: and :roll:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some low snow levels next weekend on the 18Z.
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Thu Dec 28, 2023 2:48 pm Some low snow levels next weekend on the 18Z.

1.png
2.png
Yeah, not too bad.
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Re: December 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Dear leader, gets all the cold. Those North Korean weenies are stoked about that.
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