August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 10:05 pm 00Z GFS. That really isn't enough rain to suppress any fire growth in a meaningful way in the southern interior. For the bulk of the region anyway.
Still looks relatively cool and showery on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Modelled rainfall totals do seem to be cutting back everyday this week though.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Well, interesting 00Z Euro run in the medium range. Looks better on the coast than the 12Z, but noticeably worse for the southern interior. Pretty easy to see this go sideways pretty quickly though.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:24 pm Still looks relatively cool and showery on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Modelled rainfall totals do seem to be cutting back everyday this week though.
Yeah, the trend is what concerns more than anything at this point.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:25 pm Well, interesting 00Z Euro run in the medium range. Looks better on the coast than the 12Z, but noticeably worse for the southern interior. Pretty easy to see this go sideways pretty quickly though.
Rain hangs around over the Lower Mainland and Whatcom county Monday morning.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:25 pm Well, interesting 00Z Euro run in the medium range. Looks better on the coast than the 12Z, but noticeably worse for the southern interior. Pretty easy to see this go sideways pretty quickly though.
I appreciate the maps!
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I don't know. Not bad for us I guess. I wish more precip would make it further inland though.

I should be satisfied considering climo and all that, but still...
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Just a 600 decametre ridge sitting off the coast afterwards.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The run has a cut off low basically sitting off the coast of Oregon and Northern California days 7-10. Probably best to throw it out.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:42 pm Just a 600 decametre ridge sitting off the coast afterwards.
Ridge trending west. :cry:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 04, 2021 12:03 am Ridge trending west. :cry:
We can hope. ;)
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 3:56 pm Nice, then it will be a "twice in a lifetime" event.
Even better than twice in a lifetime...twice in one summer! and just think maybe multiple repeats next summer too! Yay!??? :shock:

I don't think well get another 40C multi day heatwave again this summer...hopefully, it just keeps moving off like the forecast rain.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 03, 2021 11:29 pm Rain hangs around over the Lower Mainland and Whatcom county Monday morning.
:clap: :clap: fingers crossed..

I have 7 tons of hay coming on Thursday so as much as I'd love for it to rain, I'm happy that it's not looking likely for Thursday.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Here we are.. hoping for rain, as much as we hope for snow in winter. Climate is FUBAR. Seriously though, we need one whole day of rain to clean the air and get rid of the nasty dust and piss smell everywhere. Summers are no longer enjoyable here.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Wed Aug 04, 2021 12:39 am :clap: :clap: fingers crossed..

I have 7 tons of hay coming on Thursday so as much as I'd love for it to rain, I'm happy that it's not looking likely for Thursday.
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